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NFL Draft 2017 Scouting Report: OT Cam Robinson, Alabama

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NFL Draft 2017 Scouting Report: OT Cam Robinson, Alabama

*OT grades can and will change as more information comes in from Pro Day or private workouts, Wonderlic test results leaked, etc. We will update ratings as new info becomes available.

If you know me by now…you know I went into this looking to tear down another pre-hyped Alabama top prospect. Sorry. I’d love to oblige, but Cam Robinson is probably the best offensive lineman in the 2017 NFL Draft. Garett Bolles may give him a run for that honor, but it’s between those two.

One thing basic NFL Combine analytics (shown to the public) doesn’t capture is an offensive lineman’s ability/athleticism to backpedal. 40-time, 10-yard dash, the agility drills…none of that correlates easily to a 300+ pound man popping up off the snap and backpedaling gracefully in pass protection. For my money, Cam Robinson is the best pass protector in this draft…by far.

No one gets back into protection as smoothly as Robinson, and if you argue Bolles does…then Cam has another advantage – very long arms, the third-longest among all OL prospects at the NFL Combine. Robinson can afford to lose a half step to an onrushing D-Lineman, and just extend out his long arms and knock them off course…which I’ve watched him do repeatedly. I love everything about Robinson’s pass protection.

All the evidence you need is wrapped up in one tape – his 2016 matchup against Myles Garrett. Robinson destroyed Garrett. Any time Robinson was on Garrett, it was over. Garrett had 3.5 TFLs in that game, so everyone in analytics running reports based on production numbers gets all excited – a big game versus top competition. Garrett got all those numbers when Robinson was not on him. Anytime Robinson matched up with Garrett, which was most of the game, it was over for Garrett. Anyone who says Garrett is the greatest thing ever…the 2016 Alabama-Texas A&M tape would say Cam Robinson is.

On top of handling Garrett with ease, occasionally Garrett would come out of the game and another Aggies’ rusher would come at Robinson – and that was a joke. Robinson destroyed the other guy.

If I was grading Robinson’s skills, I’d grade him an ‘A’ in pass protection and a ‘B’ against the run. He’s OK in the run game, but there are better OLs out there in this draft in the run game. Robinson is not speedy straight ahead, nor does he mash defenders into the ground in the game…but he holds his own. It’s the pass protection skills that NFL teams should target and pay for.

I might argue Robinson is the best prospect in the entire draft if not for an off-field incident in summer 2016 – caught in a car with a friend, a stolen gun under the seat, and a small amount of marijuana. Not good. Not smart in the head. Robinson was initially arrested, but the charges were dropped because the police could not determine whose ‘stuff’ it was in the car. Robinson was not suspended for any games by Alabama. That’s Robinson’s only real blemish on an excellent prospect resume.

 

Cam Robinson, through the lens of our OT Scouting Algorithm

— Tied for the best 10-yard dash time among all OLs at the NFL Combine weighing 315+ pounds.

— Third-fastest 40-time among all OLs at the NFL Combine weighing 315+ pounds.

— Fourth-best three-cone among all OLs at the NFL Combine weighing 315+ pounds.

— Did not allow a sack to Myles Garrett in their 2016 matchup.

 

NFL Combine data…

6′5.6″/322, 35.5″ arms, 10.5″ hands

5.15 40-time, 1.78 10-yard, 4.82 shuttle, 7.81 three-cone

DNP bench press, 26.0″ vertical, 8′10″ broad jump

 

 

The NFL OT Cam Robinson most compares to statistically in college, within our system:

Compares to a mixed bag of mostly good or great NFL OTs…mostly ‘good’ ones. I could see the logic of calling Cam Robinson a ‘really good’ OL and leaving it at that.

 

OT scoreLastFirstDraft YrCollegeHeightWeightPerfm, Tech MetricsSpeed, Agility MetricsPower, Strength Metric
9.579RobinsonCamAlabama201777.63229.327.664.09
10.408CarimiGabeWisconsin201179.03149.877.885.60
6.772CastonzoAnthonyBoston College201179.03118.168.966.10
7.810IfediGermainTexas A&M201677.63248.665.923.33
8.141BeattyWilliamU Conn200978.03076.328.785.01
7.889BrownJamesTroy201275.83145.187.383.40
7.378SherrodDerekMiss State201177.33215.397.362.95
9.412WilliamsTrentOklahoma201076.53158.8411.103.71
8.432IjalanaBenjaminVillanova201175.53177.457.403.22

 

 

*A score of 8.00+ is where we see a stronger correlation of OTs going on to become NFL good/great/elite. A score of10.00+ is more rarefied air in our system and indicates a greater probability of becoming an NFL elite OT.

All of the OT ratings are based on a 0–10 scale, but a player can score negative, or above a 10.0 in certain instances.

Overall OT score = A combination of several measures, which includes – performance based on strength of opponents faced, physical measurement metrics, injury probabilities…all rated historically against the future great OTs in our database.

“Power-Strength” = A combination of unique metrics surrounding physical size profiling, bench press strength, etc.  High scorers here project to be more physical, better straight-ahead power blockers.

“Agility-Finesse” = A combination of unique metrics surrounding speed, agility, physical size, mixed with some on-field performance metrics. High scorers here project to fit a blocking scheme where lateral movement/pulling and heavy pass-blocking skills are required.

“Performance Blocking Profile” = A combination of all the physical measurable profiles, arm length, and hand size, on-field performance grades, etc. An attempt to profile the OTs skill level beyond only the physical.

 

 

2017 NFL Draft outlook…

Robinson’s draft stock has faded some since the NFL Combine. The measurable numbers weren’t ‘dazzling’. They were fine, just not ‘wow’. Some are just in love with Ryan Ramczyk, which I don’t get at all…and he couldn’t participate in…so, he has no numbers to be mad about. Some say Robinson will go top 15. Others have him in the second round. Given this weaker class at offensive tackle, I say he goes top 15…probably top 10…maybe top 5 due to OL economics in this draft class if they see him the way I see him.

NFL Outlook: Is a quality starter in the NFL. Possibly great in pass protection and solid enough in the run game. If you want to protect your big investment (QB), then you want Cam Robinson.

 

rcf@collegefootballmetrics.com

 

– R.C. Fischer is an NFL Draft analyst for College Football Metrics.com and a football projections analyst and writer for Fantasy Football Metrics.com. Read more of his work on FantasyPros and various football websites. His group also provides player projections for fantasy software such as Advanced Sports Logic’s The Machine.

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