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NFL Mock Draft (2015): Version 3.0

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1) Tampa Bay Buccaneers: QB Jameis Winston

Word is out now that Lovie prefers Winston, and they’re definitely taking a QB. This pick can be penciled in.

 

2) *TRADE* Philadelphia Eagles: QB Marcus Mariota (+) 

I assume the Titans would get the Eagles’ 1st-round picks in 2015/2016 and Nick Foles. As Selena Gomez has taught us, “The heart wants what it wants.”

 

3) Jacksonville Jaguars: DE Leonard Williams (-) 

Jacksonville doesn’t mind taking the perceived best defender in the draft. Shane Ray has been getting some attention here, but I have doubts about Ray’s Combine performance for now.

 

4) Oakland Raiders: WR Amari Cooper

For now, we can leave Cooper here. If Kevin White (WVU) runs in the 4.3s, he will be a contender.

 

5) Washington Pigskins: OLB Randy Gregory (-)

Although raw, Gregory shouldn’t slip too much as long as he demonstrates his supposed athleticism at the Combine.

 

6) New York Jets: WR Kevin White (+)

I doubt a QB just falls into the Jets’ lap. White needs to run sub-4.4 to rise up this high.

 

7) Chicago Bears: NT Danny Shelton

Shelton is becoming a consensus pick at 7, and sometimes even earlier.

 

8) Atlanta Falcons: DE Shane Ray

Ray is a good fit as a Leo in Atlanta. I don’t think he has the measurables to be drafted by the Jags.

 

9) New York Giants: DE/OLB Vic Beasley (+)

There has been talk about using Beasley in a hybrid 4-3 DE/OLB role like Von Miller. If he’s that kind of athlete and talent, he should go in the top 10.

 

10) St. Louis Rams: RT/G Brandon Scherff

Scherff is frequently described as a top prospect but is more of a run blocker. Therefore, he’s a good fit for the run-heavy Rams, who are always looking to improve their offense.

 

11) Minnesota Vikings: WR DeVante Parker

Parker seems to have fallen behind Kevin White, but his stock isn’t sliding too much otherwise.

 

12) Cleveland Browns: OT Andrus Peat (+)

The Browns have many needs, but not a lot of talent matches those needs at pick 12. Peat is known as a solid run blocker.

 

13) New Orleans Saints: OLB Dante Fowler (-)

Fowler has been slipping to 8-13 lately, but he shouldn’t drop any lower.

 

14) Miami Dolphins: RT/G La’el Collins

Despite what Dolphins fans may think, the o-line is still awful, especially the guard play.

 

15) San Francisco 49ers: DE Arik Armstead (+)

A guy who constantly gets compared to Calais Campbell doesn’t fall to the second round.

 

16) Houston Texans: CB PJ Williams (+)

There’s a lot of disagreement over CBs this year. Williams has been sliding, but I expect him to stand out after a sensational Combine.

 

17) San Diego Chargers: RB Melvin Gordon (+)

I don’t think a RB should go this high, but I think they will take a supposed ‘special talent’ over a weaker player at a more valuable position.

 

18) Kansas City Chiefs: LT/RT Ereck Flowers

The defense is fine, and all they do is get the ball to Jamaal and Knile.

 

19) Cleveland Browns: WR Breshad Perriman (+)

All aboard the Perriman hype train. Nepotism rules in the NFL.

 

20) *TRADE* Tennessee Titans: S Landon Collins (-)

When you project a trade in a mock draft, it’s a good idea to take a player that either team could use. Eagles/Titans are both in need of a safety.

 

21) Cincinnati Bengals: DT Malcom Brown

Nearly every mock draft puts Brown around the high 20s.

 

22) Pittsburgh Steelers: OLB Alvin Dupree

Dupree is a bit of a raw athlete with big upside, but the Steelers tend to ease in rookies anyway.

 

23) Detroit Lions: RB Todd Gurley (+)

RB is a major need, and again I think ‘special talent’ will trump weaker players at more important positions.

 

24) Arizona Cardinals: OLB Eli Harold

Harold is a 3-4 rusher who should rise solidly into the first round with a good Combine.

 

25) Carolina Panthers: WR Phillip Dorsett

This pick assumes that Dorsett will run a 4.2.

 

26) Baltimore Ravens: CB Quinten Rollins (+)

The Ravens tend to go with ‘best defender available’ in the first round.

 

27) Dallas Cowboys: CB Trae Waynes (-)

CB is one of the many needs on the Cowboys defense.

 

28) Denver Broncos: DE Eddie Goldman

Wade Phillips has a little bit of an unorthodox 3-4 scheme that would suit the metrics and abilities of Goldman. D-line is also one of the Broncos biggest needs at the moment.

 

29) Indianapolis Colts: S Shaq Thompson (-)

Shaq is a volatile commodity because his position is uncertain. Right now, he’s being treated as a safety.

 

30) Green Bay Packers: CB Kevin Johnson (+)

Considering how their season ended, I’d imagine that they’ll want to buff up their defense. CB is also their most valuable position of need.

 

31) Seattle Seahawks: WR Jaelen Strong

It’s fair to say that a WR with size is a position of need in Seattle.

 

32) New England Patriots: NT Jordan Phillips (-)

They don’t have many needs at the valuable positions.

**Fantasy Football Metrics and College Football Metrics IDP Dynasty (three-year) projections now exist on the Fantasy Football Management technology: “The Machine.” See “The Machine” here (link): The Machine via FFM

 

  1. Tennessee: OLB Lorenzo Mauldin (-)
  2. Tampa Bay: DE Danielle Hunter (+)
  3. Oakland: RT TJ Clemmings (-)
  4. Jacksonville: TE Maxx Williams (+)
  5. New York Jets: CB Marcus Peters (-)
  6. Washington: CB Jalen Collins (-)
  7. Chicago: ILB Denzel Perryman
  8. New York Giants: ILB Bernardrick McKinney
  9. Saint Louis: WR Dorial Green-Beckham
  10. Atlanta: OLB Paul Dawson (+)
  11. Cleveland: QB Brett Hundley
  12. New Orleans: RB Jay Ajayi
  13. Minnesota: LB Eric Kendricks
  14. San Francisco: WR Devin Smith
  15. Miami: CB Ronald Darby (+)
  16. San Diego: C Cameron Erving (+)
  17. Kansas City: WR Sammie Coates
  18. Buffalo: TE Devin Funchess (-)
  19. Houston: LT/RT DJ Humphries (+)
  20. Philadelphia: CB Alex Carter (+)
  21. Cincinnati: DE Owamagbe Odighizuwa (-)
  22. Detroit: DT Carl Davis (-) 
  23. Arizona: RB Duke Johnson (-)
  24. Pittsburgh: DE Preston Smith
  25. Carolina: RT Ty Sambrailo (-)
  26. Baltimore: LT Cedric Ogbuehi (+)
  27. Denver: G AJ Cann (-)
  28. Dallas: DT Michael Bennett (-)
  29. Indianapolis: WR Nelson Agholor 
  30. Green Bay: TE Clive Walford 
  31. Seattle: CB/S Eric Rowe (-)
  32. New England: G Laken Tomlinson

  **See the 2015 NFL Draft and 2015 Dynasty Rookie Draft, like never before with our Moneyball-style scouting reports and rankings. Go to www.collegefootballmetrics.com **

 

Round 3

  1. Tampa Bay: S Chris Hackett (-)
  2. Tennessee: LT Donovan Smith (-) 
  3. Jacksonville: ILB Stephone Anthony 
  4. Oakland: DE Mario Edwards (+)
  5. Washington: S Ibraheim Campbell
  6. New York Jets: RB Tevin Coleman (+)
  7. Chicago: S Gerod Holliman 
  8. Saint Louis: RT Daryl Williams (-)
  9. Atlanta: RB Ameer Abdullah (-)
  10. New York Giants: DE Markus Golden
  11. New Orleans: G Josue Matias (+)
  12. Minnesota: G Tre Jackson
  13. Cleveland: CB D’Joun Smith (-)
  14. Miami: WR Jamison Crowder (-)
  15. San Francisco: RB TJ Yeldon
  16. Kansas City: CB Ifo Ekpre-Olomu (+)
  17. Buffalo: DE Nate Orchard (-)
  18. Houston: OLB Trey Flowers (+)
  19. San Diego: CB Steven Nelson
  20. Philadelphia: CB Jacoby Glenn (+)
  21. Cincinnati: WR Rashad Greene
  22. Arizona: CB Kevin White (-)
  23. Pittsburgh: RB David Cobb (+)
  24. Detroit: RT Jake Fisher 
  25. Carolina: CB Senquez Golson (-)
  26. Baltimore: S Cody Prewitt (-)
  27. Dallas: RB David Johnson (+)
  28. Denver: S Jaquiski Tartt (+)
  29. Indianapolis: C Hroniss Grasu 
  30. Green Bay: RT Jeremiah Poutasi 
  31. Seattle: DT Xavier Cooper
  32. New England: S Derron Smith (-)
  33. Compensatory: DT Marcus Hardison 
  34. Compensatory: DT Grady Jarrett 
  35. Compensatory: DE Henry Anderson (+)
  36. Compensatory: QB Jake Waters (+)

 

 

R.C. Fischer is an NFL Draft analyst for College Football Metrics.com, and a football projections analyst and writer for Fantasy Football Metrics.com. He is also a lead writer for ‘Play The Draft.com’. His group also provides player projections for Advanced Sports Logic’s football software “The Machine.” See “The Machine” here: The Machine via FFM

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