College Football Metrics aims to remove bias from NFL Draft analysis. We want to objectively scout prospects, and we want to accurately analyze how the free market values prospects. Thus, CFM has partnered with Xavier Cromartie (Twitter @xaviercromartie / Gab @xm) to produce mock drafts and top 100 prospect boards based on his latest intel, research, and analysis. Xavier was the final grand prize winner of ESPN’s NFL Draft 1st Round Forecast contest, and he is the undefeated Play The Draft Champion Emeritus.
In 2015, we made our debut in The Huddle Report’s exclusive, experts-only NFL Draft contests. Our two-year average score in the mock draft contest is 42.5 (#12 two-year average out of 86 entries), and our two-year average score in the top 100 contest is 83.5 (#4 two-year average out of 43 entries).
Draft scenarios change as new information comes in during draft season, and so we will run updates here as often as Xavier makes adjustments to his mocks and boards.
If they don’t sign a veteran QB, they will stick with Kessler because they like his metrics.
All new management and no QB.
They should land Garoppolo at QB. The DL needs more than Akiem Hicks.
Very few mocks have a CB here. But Amukamara is a FA, and they could cut House with no cap hit. Humphrey and Lattimore are both highly ranked CBs.
TEN is in quite good shape at every position except DB.
I project Mike Glennon as their QB. They go BPA. Forte and Powell are aging. They have needs everywhere except DL.
Hooker to LAC has become a meme, but it fits too nicely to change it.
I think Gettleman will load up on DLs early and often.
CIN tends to go defense early. Barnett is the best need/value combo. No depth after Dunlap and Johnson.
The #1 reason they will take him is that he is from Clemson. Also, they’re losing 4 WRs to FA. They may end up with Deshaun Watson (Clemson) as well.
“NO’s pass defense was poor last year.” (You can copy/paste this sentence every year.)
CLE needs a lot of things, and S is one of the bigger needs.
I think that Kizer is the QB whom Keim really wants. (That’s meant as an insult to Keim and his drafting ability.)
All the over-the-hill, ineffective pass-rushers are heading to FA. No team has a greater need at any position than IND does at OLB.
Jalen Mills is PHI’s only CB remaining. Look for either of the Florida CBs here.
Do you really think that Ozzie Newsome will pass on an Alabama TE? He’s hoping that he lasts this long.
This pick could go in any direction. If Breeland moves to S, as he should, then CB is weak after Norman.
They’re losing their ILB depth this year and the starters next year.
I think that Ross will go before Corey Davis.
Ed McCaffrey’s son… Stanford… And they need a RB like him.
Devin Taylor is a FA. They have no one else at DE except Ansah.
Beyond Alonso, MIA has a terrible group of LBs.
Reese seems disappointed in Flowers and ready to get a new LT.
For whatever reason, Latavius Murray seems to be on his way out. This isn’t really a shocking fall for Cook. An outside runner with a lot of baggage.
He could play S or LB, depending on the situation. He is the type that Rick Smith will target, I think.
If any of the top 3 LTs fall to SEA, they should take him.
A defensive pick is likely, with an SEC CB being the most likely.
Even if Carr stays while Mr. 4-on-the-Wonderlic leaves for FA, they need a CB. DE is also a need.
GB’s CBs are horrible, but they also need an OLB. Since McKinley is the best Pac-12 player available, he’s the pick.
Defender, good metrics, Ohio State… everything PIT looks for in a draft pick.
The DL really needs some work, especially inside.
NE has the best roster in the league, so Belichick can do whatever he wants.
Dropped out: 5T Malik McDowell (17), WR Corey Davis (19), ILB Jarrad Davis (24)