College Football Metrics aims to remove bias from NFL Draft analysis. We want to objectively scout prospects, and we want to accurately analyze how the free market values prospects. Thus, CFM has partnered with Xavier Cromartie (Twitter @xaviercromartie / Gab @xm) to produce mock drafts and top 100 prospect boards based on his latest intel, research, and analysis. Xavier was the final grand prize winner of ESPN’s NFL Draft 1st Round Forecast contest, and he is the undefeated Play The Draft Champion Emeritus.
In 2015, we made our debut in The Huddle Report’s exclusive, experts-only NFL Draft contests. Our two-year average score in the mock draft contest is 42.5 (#12 two-year average out of 86 entries), and our two-year average score in the top 100 contest is 83.5 (#4 two-year average out of 43 entries).
Draft scenarios change as new information comes in during draft season, and so we will run updates here as often as Xavier makes adjustments to his mocks and boards.
I’m projecting Tyrod Taylor as the Browns’ QB. There’s no other real option here besides Garrett.
I guess Schaub as their veteran QB makes sense, but they need to draft one here. They’re starting over.
I’m projecting Jimmy Garoppolo as the Bears’ QB. Their d-line remains soft.
Cyprien is a free agent, so they have nothing at SS.
They were rotating DBs. They need to rebuild the whole secondary.
I’m projecting Mike Glennon as the Jets’ QB. They will take the best player. Building the offense around a RB makes sense for them.
Their safety situation is a barren wasteland.
They didn’t have much of a pass rush and a few contracts are up.
CBs Jones and Kirkpatrick both could depart, and the Bengals are known for their love of CBs.
Here’s a QB who doesn’t win nor throw accurately, so he’s a nice fit for the Bills.
They have an eternal need to improve their pass defense.
In their new 4-3, they can put Kirksey at WLB, Foster at MLB, and Collins at SLB.
It’s pretty clear that they need to think about the future at WR. A pair of sub-180 lb guys won’t work.
They have literally no one to rush the passer. Every contract is up.
Pederson would love a RB similar to Jamaal Charles. He tried to make Sproles a feature back.
Newsome will convince himself to take Howard. They are weak at TE.
It’s time to rebuild the defensive line.
Two CBs in the first round wouldn’t be crazy.
There’s no one after Mike Evans.
I’m projecting Tony Romo as the Broncos’ QB. Not hard to imagine that Elway would take a Stanford guy.
They’re stuck with Marvin Jones’s contract, but they need to find playmakers. The Seahawks shut down their offense in the playoffs. Boldin is gone.
Alonso moves to WLB and Cunningham takes over at MLB.
They have to go offense. A run-mauling LT would help change their offensive identity.
Poor LB play hurt their defense all year and Malcolm Smith’s contract is up.
Keep the defense strong. Safety is a weak point.
They continue to have many needs on the o-line, starting at LT.
Since they never show interest in upgrading at WR, they can go with a CB opposite Peters.
They’re rotating a bunch of mediocre players on the d-line.
Randall and Rollins are busts. GB can’t win with their CBs. They’ve shown a preference for Pac-12 players.
They really need an edge rusher, so they’ll overlook the character issues.
They’re about to lose 3 d-linemen from their massive rotation. They have no one other than Grady Jarrett inside.
Logan Ryan is probably leaving. Belichick/Meyer connection.
Dropped out: QB Deshaun Watson (10), QB Patrick Mahomes (25), 9T Dawuane Smoot (30)
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