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2017 NFL Mock Draft — Xavier Cromartie’s One Round Mock (1.0)

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College Football Metrics aims to remove bias from NFL Draft analysis. We want to objectively scout prospects, and we want to accurately analyze how the free market values prospects. Thus, CFM has partnered with Xavier Cromartie (Twitter @xaviercromartie / Gab @xm) to produce mock drafts and top 100 prospect boards based on his latest intel, research, and analysis. Xavier was the final grand prize winner of ESPN’s NFL Draft 1st Round Forecast contest, and he is the undefeated Play The Draft Champion Emeritus.

In 2015, we made our debut in The Huddle Report’s exclusive, experts-only NFL Draft contests. Our two-year average score in the mock draft contest is 42.5 (#12 two-year average out of 86 entries), and our two-year average score in the top 100 contest is 83.5 (#4 two-year average out of 43 entries).

Draft scenarios change as new information comes in during draft season, and so we will run updates here as often as Xavier makes adjustments to his mocks and boards.

 

Round 1

  1. Cleveland Browns: 7T Myles Garrett (Texas A&M)

Unanimous choice for best player in the draft.

 

  1. San Francisco 49ers: QB Mitch Trubisky (North Carolina)

The QBs get pushed to the top because of positional value.

 

  1. Chicago Bears: QB DeShone Kizer (Notre Dame)

Overdrafted because of need.

 

  1. Jacksonville Jaguars: 5T Jonathan Allen (Alabama)

Take the best player because they have plenty of needs.

 

  1. Tennessee Titans (via LAR): CB Marlon Humphrey (Alabama)

CBs will go early and often in this draft.

 

  1. New York Jets: RB Leonard Fournette (Louisiana State)

No team is more desperate for a QB, but they go for value.

 

  1. Los Angeles Chargers: S Malik Hooker (Ohio State)

They should jump on any of the top 3 safeties.

 

  1. Carolina Panthers: RB Dalvin Cook (Florida State)

Complement/replacement for Jonathan Stewart.

 

  1. Cincinnati Bengals: WR Mike Williams (Clemson)

The starter opposite AJ Green plays a lot of snaps and needs to be an upgrade on LaFell.

 

  1. Buffalo Bills: QB Deshaun Watson (Clemson)

Grades on him are all over the place. I don’t know what else they can do if they dump Tyrod.

 

  1. New Orleans Saints: CB Marshon Lattimore (Ohio State)

The Saints always need defenders.

 

  1. Cleveland Browns (via PHI): S Jamal Adams (Louisiana State)

Keep stacking the defensive talent.

 

  1. Arizona Cardinals: S Jabrill Peppers (Michigan)

The Cardinals can never have too many safeties.

 

  1. Indianapolis Colts: 7T Derek Barnett (Tennessee)

Lucky for them since they have little at OLB.

 

  1. Philadelphia Eagles: CB Quincy Wilson (Florida)

Very sad CB situation.

 

  1. Baltimore Ravens: WR Corey Davis (Western Michigan)

They need to find some offensive playmakers.

 

  1. Washington Redskins: ILB Reuben Foster (Alabama)

Excellent fit.

 

  1. Tennessee Titans: 5T Malik McDowell (Michigan State)

He’s going to be tough to place because he’s inconsistent and a 5-tech.

 

  1. Tampa Bay Buccaneers: WR John Ross (Washington)

They need a speedy guy to pair with Evans.

 

  1. Denver Broncos: 5T Solomon Thomas (Stanford)

The run defense collapsed after Malik Jackson left.

 

  1. Detroit Lions: CB Teez Tabor (Florida)

They must address their dreadful pass defense.

 

  1. Miami Dolphins: TE OJ Howard (Alabama)

Gase has to be dreaming about Howard’s potential.

 

  1. New York Giants: LT Cam Robinson (Alabama)

They should look for offensive help here.

 

  1. Oakland Raiders: ILB Zach Cunningham (Vanderbilt)

Last year’s additions didn’t help the defense much. LB is a weak spot.

 

  1. Houston Texans: QB Patrick Mahomes (Texas Tech)

Brock Osweiler is fake news.

 

  1. Seattle Seahawks: LT Ryan Ramczyk (Wisconsin)

Pathetic o-line.

 

  1. Kansas City Chiefs: CB Adoree’ Jackson (Southern Cal)

The Chiefs have a thing for those versatile types.

 

  1. Dallas Cowboys: 9T Charles Harris (Missouri)

Unimpressive pass rushers on this team.

 

  1. Green Bay Packers: CB Sidney Jones (Washington)

The Packers like size and Pac-12 guys.

 

  1. Pittsburgh Steelers: 9T Dawuane Smoot (Illinois)

James Harrison won’t last forever.

 

  1. Atlanta Falcons: 3T Caleb Brantley (Florida)

Nice fit for a team weak at DT.

 

  1. New England Patriots: CB Gareon Conley (Ohio State)

The Belichick + Urban Meyer combo strikes again.

 

The preeminent NFL Draft and Dynasty Rookie Draft scouting service – College Football Metrics.com is getting ready to launch its sixth year of scouting analytics and detailed reports, rankings and coverage of all things NFL Draft…including the college all-star bowls, the NFL Combine, and the draft itself. Our analysis is like none other, designed to defy and confound the mainstream coverage – who else had David Johnson on par with Todd Gurley in 2015? Or Tyrell Williams as a top WR prospect in 2015? Or Jatavis Brown and Sean Davis as top defensive prospects in 2016? Who else railed against Laquon Treadwell and Jameis Winston from the jump in their draft years? What will we discover with our computer scouting models in 2017?

For a completely different scouting service, visit collegefootballmetrics.com. Originally designed for NFL personnel departments, it has become home to the high stakes dynasty and fantasy profiteers – come see why that one person in your league always finds all those players ahead of everyone else…or become that person.

 

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