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2016 NFL Mock Draft — Xavier Cromartie’s Three-Round Mock (9.0)

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Tags — mock draft, NFL Draft prospects, sleepers, dynasty rookie draft

Twitter @CFBMetrics, @FFMetrics 

 

At College Football Metrics, we want to outperform all other scouting services in correctly evaluating where teams should take prospects in the NFL Draft. But we also want to lead the way in predicting what teams will actually do with their draft picks. In 2015, we made our debut in The Huddle Report’s exclusive, expert-only NFL Draft contests. CFM took 5th place (out of 113) in the mock draft competition and 4th place (out of 56) in the top 100 board competition. In 2016, we want double crowns!

CFM has partnered with Xavier Cromartie (Twitter @xaviercromartie) to produce mock drafts and top 100 prospect boards based on his latest intel, research, and analysis. Xavier was the final grand prize winner of ESPN’s NFL Draft 1st Round Forecast game, and he is the undefeated Play The Draft Champion Emeritus.

Draft scenarios change as new information comes in during draft season, and so we will run updates here as often as Xavier makes adjustments to his mocks and boards.

 

New position labels:

9T = 9-technique = 3-4 OLB

7T = 7-technique = 4-3 DE

5T = 5-technique = 3-4 DE

3T = 3-technique = 4-3 DE

1T = 1-technique = 4-3 NT

0T = 0-technique = 3-4 NT

$LB = Moneybacker = the Deone Bucannon position

 

 

Round 1 (team/player/school/ + or – from last report/pick # last report)

 

  1. Los Angeles Rams (via TEN): QB Carson Wentz (North Dakota State) 1

Needs: QB, FS, C, WR, CB

I need to brush up on my quantum mechanics to understand how this pick can be both Wentz and Goff simultaneously.

 

  1. Cleveland Browns: QB Jared Goff (Cal) 2

Needs: QB, WR, FS, 9T, MLB

When has a team that needed a franchise QB ever traded down to avoid taking one?

 

  1. San Diego Chargers: 5T DeForest Buckner (Oregon) (+) 6

Needs: 5T, LT, FS, C, TE

Considering all possible draft scenarios, it may be more probable that Buckner ends up with the Chargers than Tunsil.

 

  1. Dallas Cowboys: CB/S Jalen Ramsey (Florida State) 4

Needs: 7T, 3T, CB, RB, WR

They hope the Chargers pass on him.

 

  1. Jacksonville Jaguars: WLB Myles Jack (UCLA) (+) 12

Needs: MLB, SS, 7T, C, CB

I’ve had Jack going 4th or 5th since the first mock. The fit here is too good.

 

  1. Baltimore Ravens: OT Laremy Tunsil (Mississippi) (-) 3

Needs: 5T, 9T, G, CB, MLB

I wonder if everyone started calling him the clear-cut top prospect only because they assumed the Titans would take him #1.

 

  1. San Francisco 49ers: 7T Joey Bosa (Ohio State) (-) 5

Needs: QB, CB, WR, MLB, G

He’s finally slipping a bit.

 

  1. Philadelphia Eagles (via MIA): RB Ezekiel Elliott (Ohio State) 8

Needs: CB, G, RB, 7T, QB

Everyone seems pretty happy to let this pick happen.

 

  1. Tampa Bay Buccaneers: 9T Leonard Floyd (Georgia) 9

Needs: CB, 7T, FS, RT, WR

Some mocks might flip Hargreaves and Floyd at 9/10. I don’t think they want Hargreaves.

 

  1. New York Giants: CB Vernon Hargreaves (Florida) (-) 7

Needs: LT, CB, MLB, FS, WR

Probably the scenario they’re hoping for.

 

  1. Chicago Bears: OT Ronnie Stanley (Notre Dame) (-) 11

Needs: LT, CB, 5T, 9T, RB

He’s sliding a little lately.

 

  1. New Orleans Saints: WR Laquon Treadwell (Mississippi) (+) 21

Needs: 7T, 3T, WR, CB, G

Slow or not he’s likely going top 20.

 

  1. Miami Dolphins (via PHI): CB William Jackson (Houston) 13

Needs: CB, RB, G, WLB, 7T

Love/hate based on scheme but he fits here.

 

  1. Oakland Raiders: 3T Sheldon Rankins (Louisville) (+) 19

Needs: 3T, 5T, WLB, SS, RB

Darron Lee would be an interesting alternative.

 

  1. Tennessee Titans (via LA): OT Jack Conklin (Michigan State) (-) 11

Needs: RT, SS, FS, CB, WR

They could move up a little to get him.

 

  1. Detroit Lions: 1T Jarran Reed (Alabama) (+) 18

Needs: LT, 3T, 7T, SS, C

Most have Reed near the top of the DT rankings, for whatever reason.

 

  1. Atlanta Falcons: WLB Darron Lee (Ohio State) 17

Needs: WLB, TE, SS, WR, 7T

Otherwise Kevin Dodd, maybe?

 

  1. Indianapolis Colts: OT Taylor Decker (Ohio State) (-) 15

Needs: 9T, RT, 1T, MLB, S

Deal with the right side of the line.

 

  1. Buffalo Bills: MLB Reggie Ragland (Alabama) (-) 14

Needs: 7T, RT, WLB, WR, QB

Probably a front-7 guy here.

 

  1. New York Jets: QB Paxton Lynch (Memphis) (-) 7

Needs: 9T, QB, RT, MLB, TE

Potential trade up or maybe they get him here anyway.

 

  1. Washington Pigskins: 5T Chris Jones (Mississippi State) (+) 35

Needs: CB, MLB, 1T, C, WR

I think Washington is more likely to trade down. But if they do stay, Jones is a possible match.

 

  1. Houston Texans: WR Will Fuller (Notre Dame) 22

Needs: WR, TE, SS, 0T, G

I don’t get why they want him instead of Coleman.

 

  1. Minnesota Vikings: WR Josh Doctson (Texas Christian) 23

Needs: WR, 3T, CB, C, WLB

They might trade up to make this pick happen.

 

  1. Cincinnati Bengals: 1T Vernon Butler (Louisiana Tech) (-) 16

Needs: WR, 1T, CB, SS, 7T

Doctson would be a fine choice if he made it here.

 

  1. Pittsburgh Steelers: S Keanu Neal (Florida) 25

Needs: SS, CB, 9T, LT, 1T

I think S is a much bigger need than CB.

 

  1. Seattle Seahawks: OT Germain Ifedi (Texas A&M) 26

Needs: LT, RT, 3T, CB, G

O-line.

 

  1. Green Bay Packers: OT Jason Spriggs (Indiana) 27

Needs: LT, MLB, 1T, TE, 9T

I haven’t changed this pick since the Combine.

 

  1. Kansas City Chiefs: CB Eli Apple (Ohio State) 28

Needs: CB, 9T, QB, 5T, WR

Still locked-in here too.

 

  1. Arizona Cardinals: C Ryan Kelly (Alabama) (+) 38

Needs: SS, C, 9T, CB, MLB

He could go earlier to WAS or SEA.

 

  1. Carolina Panthers: 7T Kevin Dodd (Clemson) (-) 29

Needs: CB, SS, LT, RB, 7T

I’ll put him in the 1st but not Lawson.

 

  1. Denver Broncos: 5T A’Shawn Robinson (Alabama) 31

Needs: QB, 5T, G, WLB, TE

He’s staying in round 1 for me.

 *See more of our football work at Fantasy Football Metrics.com 

 

 

Round 2

  1. Cleveland Browns: WR Michael Thomas (Ohio State) 32
  2. Tennessee Titans: CB Kendall Fuller (Virginia Tech) 33
  3. Dallas Cowboys: RB Derrick Henry (Alabama) 34
  4. San Diego Chargers: CB/S TJ Green (Clemson) (+) 43
  5. Baltimore Ravens: $LB Su’a Cravens (Southern California) 36
  6. San Francisco 49ers: WR Corey Coleman (Baylor) (-) 24
  7. Jacksonville Jaguars: 7T Shaq Lawson (Clemson) (-) 30
  8. Tampa Bay Buccaneers: CB Artie Burns (Miami) 39
  9. New York Giants: 3T Robert Nkemdiche (Mississippi) 40
  10. Chicago Bears: 9T Noah Spence (Eastern Kentucky) (+) 45
  11. Miami Dolphins: 7T Emmanuel Ogbah (Oklahoma State) 42
  12. Tennessee Titans (via LA via PHI): 1T Austin Johnson (Penn State) (+) 57
  13. Oakland Raiders: S Karl Joseph (West Virginia) 44
  14. Tennessee Titans (via LA): S Vonn Bell (Ohio State) (+) 55
  15. Detroit Lions: OT Le’Raven Clark (Texas Tech) 46
  16. New Orleans Saints: QB Connor Cook (Michigan State) 47
  17. Indianapolis Colts: 9T Kamalei Correa (Boise State) 48
  18. Buffalo Bills: WR Sterling Shepard (Oklahoma) (+) 60
  19. Atlanta Falcons: TE Hunter Henry (Arkansas) 50
  20. New York Jets: 9T Shilique Calhoun (Michigan State) (+) 58
  21. Houston Texans: 0T Andrew Billings (Baylor) 52
  22. Washington Pigskins: CB Xavien Howard (Baylor) (-) 41
  23. Minnesota Vikings: CB Mackensie Alexander (Clemson) 54
  24. Cincinnati Bengals: WR Tyler Boyd (Pittsburgh) (-) 37
  25. Seattle Seahawks: 3T Jonathan Bullard (Florida) (-) 51
  26. Green Bay Packers: 1T Kenny Clark (UCLA) (-) 53
  27. Pittsburgh Steelers: 9T Yannick Ngakoue (Maryland) (+) 65
  28. Kansas City Chiefs: 9T Kyler Fackrell (Utah State) 59
  29. New England Patriots: 3T Adolphus Washington (Ohio State) (-) 56
  30. New England Patriots (via AZ): WR Braxton Miller (Ohio State) (+) 64
  31. Carolina Panthers: S Darian Thompson (Boise State) 62
  32. Denver Broncos: G Cody Whitehair (Kansas State) (-) 61

Dynasty Rookie Draft analysis begins immediately after the draft on College Football Metrics.com. The first of 10-15 Dynasty Rookie Draft top 100+ (with IDP) rankings will hit immediately after the 2016 NFL Draft.

 

 

Round 3

  1. Tennessee Titans: 9T Jordan Jenkins (Georgia) (+) 70
  2. Cleveland Browns: WLB Deion Jones (Louisiana State) (+) 80
  3. San Diego Chargers: C Nick Martin (Notre Dame) 66
  4. Dallas Cowboys: 7T Bronson Kaufusi (Brigham Young) 67
  5. San Francisco 49ers: G Joshua Garnett (Stanford) (-) 63
  6. Jacksonville Jaguars: 3T Maliek Collins (Nebraska) (+) 75
  7. Baltimore Ravens: G Graham Glasgow (Michigan) (+) 96
  8. New York Giants: RB Jordan Howard (Indiana) 71
  9. Chicago Bears: 5T Jihad Ward (Illinois) 72
  10. Miami Dolphins: RB Kenneth Dixon (Louisiana Tech) 73
  11. Tampa Bay Buccaneers: OT Shon Coleman (Auburn) 74
  12. Oakland Raiders: RB Devontae Booker (Utah) (+) 82
  13. Tennessee Titans (via LA): WR Pharoh Cooper (South Carolina) (+) 88
  14. Philadelphia Eagles: CB Zack Sanchez (Oklahoma) 77
  15. New Orleans Saints: K Roberto Aguayo (Florida State) 78
  16. Philadelphia Eagles (via DET): 3T Sheldon Day (Notre Dame) (+) 86
  17. Buffalo Bills: QB Christian Hackenberg (Penn State) (-) 49
  18. Atlanta Falcons: $LB Miles Killebrew (Southern Utah) (-) 69
  19. Indianapolis Colts: CB/S KeiVarae Russell (Notre Dame) (+) 92
  20. New York Jets: TE Nick Vannett (Ohio State) 83
  21. Washington Pigskins: WR Leonte Carroo (Rutgers) (+) NR
  22. Houston Texans: TE Austin Hooper (Stanford) 85
  23. Minnesota Vikings: 3T Hassan Ridgeway (Texas) (+) 87
  24. Cincinnati Bengals: $LB Jeremy Cash (Duke) (-) 81
  25. Green Bay Packers: MLB Joshua Perry (Ohio State) (-) 68
  26. Pittsburgh Steelers: CB/S Sean Davis (Maryland) (-) 90
  27. Seattle Seahawks: OT Caleb Benenoch (UCLA) (+) 97
  28. New England Patriots: 7T Carl Nassib (Penn State) 91
  29. Arizona Cardinals: QB Cardale Jones (Ohio State) (-) 79
  30. Carolina Panthers: RB Kenyan Drake (Alabama) 93
  31. Denver Broncos: QB Dak Prescott (Mississippi State) 94
  32. Detroit Lions (comp): S Justin Simmons (Boston College) 95
  33. New England Patriots (comp): MLB Kentrell Brothers (Missouri) (-) 84
  34. Seattle Seahawks (comp): G Christian Westerman (Arizona State) (-) 76
  35. Denver Broncos (comp): RB CJ Prosise (Notre Dame) 98
  36. Cleveland Browns (4): G Joe Dahl (Washington State) (+) 100
  37. Philadelphia Eagles (4) (via TEN): OT Willie Beavers (Western Michigan) (-) 99

 

Dropped out: WR Charone Peake (89)

 

 

Team-by-team

 

Arizona Cardinals
29. C Ryan Kelly (Alabama)
93. QB Cardale Jones (Ohio State)

Atlanta Falcons
17. WLB Darron Lee (Ohio State)
50. TE Hunter Henry (Arkansas)
81. $LB Miles Killebrew (Southern Utah)

Baltimore Ravens
6. OT Laremy Tunsil (Mississippi)
36. $LB Su’a Cravens (Southern California)
70. G Graham Glasgow (Michigan)

Buffalo Bills
19. MLB Reggie Ragland (Alabama)
49. WR Sterling Shepard (Oklahoma)
80. QB Christian Hackenberg (Penn State)

Carolina Panthers
30. 7T Kevin Dodd (Clemson)
62. S Darian Thompson (Boise State)
93. RB Kenyan Drake (Alabama)

Chicago Bears
11. OT Ronnie Stanley (Notre Dame)
41. 9T Noah Spence (Eastern Kentucky)
72. 5T Jihad Ward (Illinois)

Cincinnati Bengals
24. 1T Vernon Butler (Louisiana Tech)
55. WR Tyler Boyd (Pittsburgh)
87. $LB Jeremy Cash (Duke)

Cleveland Browns
2. QB Jared Goff (Cal)
32. WR Michael Thomas (Ohio State)
65. WLB Deion Jones (Louisiana State)
99. G Joe Dahl (Washington State)

Dallas Cowboys
4. CB/S Jalen Ramsey (Florida State)
34. RB Derrick Henry (Alabama)
67. 7T Bronson Kaufusi (Brigham Young)

Denver Broncos
31. 5T A’Shawn Robinson (Alabama)
63. G Cody Whitehair (Kansas State)
94. QB Dak Prescott (Mississippi State)
98. RB CJ Prosise (Notre Dame)

Detroit Lions
16. 1T Jarran Reed (Alabama)
46. OT Le’Raven Clark (Texas Tech)
95. S Justin Simmons (Boston College)

Green Bay Packers
27. OT Jason Spriggs (Indiana)
57. 1T Kenny Clark (UCLA)
88. MLB Joshua Perry (Ohio State)

Houston Texans
22. WR Will Fuller (Notre Dame)
52. 0T Andrew Billings (Baylor)
85. TE Austin Hooper (Stanford)

Indianapolis Colts
18. OT Taylor Decker (Ohio State)
48. 9T Kamalei Correa (Boise State)
82. CB/S KeiVarae Russell (Notre Dame)

Jacksonville Jaguars
5. WLB Myles Jack (UCLA)
38. 7T Shaq Lawson (Clemson)
69. 3T Maliek Collins (Nebraska)

Kansas City Chiefs
28. CB Eli Apple (Ohio State)
59. 9T Kyler Fackrell (Utah State)

Los Angeles Rams
1. QB Carson Wentz (North Dakota State)

Miami Dolphins
13. CB William Jackson (Houston)
42. 7T Emmanuel Ogbah (Oklahoma State)
73. RB Kenneth Dixon (Louisiana Tech)

Minnesota Vikings
23. WR Josh Doctson (Texas Christian)
54. CB Mackensie Alexander (Clemson)
86. 3T Hassan Ridgeway (Texas)

New England Patriots
60. 3T Adolphus Washington (Ohio State)
61. WR Braxton Miller (Ohio State)
91. 7T Carl Nassib (Penn State)
96. MLB Kentrell Brothers (Missouri)

New Orleans Saints
12. WR Laquon Treadwell (Mississippi)
47. QB Connor Cook (Michigan State)
78. K Roberto Aguayo (Florida State)

New York Giants
10. CB Vernon Hargreaves (Florida)
40. 3T Robert Nkemdiche (Mississippi)
71. RB Jordan Howard (Indiana)

New York Jets
20. QB Paxton Lynch (Memphis)
51. 9T Shilique Calhoun (Michigan State)
83. TE Nick Vannett (Ohio State)

Oakland Raiders
14. 3T Sheldon Rankins (Louisville)
44. S Karl Joseph (West Virginia)
75. RB Devontae Booker (Utah)

Philadelphia Eagles
8. RB Ezekiel Elliott (Ohio State)
77. CB Zack Sanchez (Oklahoma)
79. 3T Sheldon Day (Notre Dame)
100. OT Willie Beavers (Western Michigan)

Pittsburgh Steelers
25. S Keanu Neal (Florida)
58. 9T Yannick Ngakoue (Maryland)
89. CB/S Sean Davis (Maryland)

San Diego Chargers
3. 5T DeForest Buckner (Oregon)
35. CB/S TJ Green (Clemson)
66. C Nick Martin (Notre Dame)

San Francisco 49ers
7. 7T Joey Bosa (Ohio State)
37. WR Corey Coleman (Baylor)
68. G Joshua Garnett (Stanford)

Seattle Seahawks
26. OT Germain Ifedi (Texas A&M)
56. 3T Jonathan Bullard (Florida)
90. OT Caleb Benenoch (UCLA)
97. G Christian Westerman (Arizona State)

Tampa Bay Buccaneers
9. 9T Leonard Floyd (Georgia)
39. CB Artie Burns (Miami)
74. OT Shon Coleman (Auburn)

Tennessee Titans
15. OT Jack Conklin (Michigan State)
33. CB Kendall Fuller (Virginia Tech)
43. 1T Austin Johnson (Penn State)
45. S Vonn Bell (Ohio State)
64. 9T Jordan Jenkins (Georgia)
76. WR Pharoh Cooper (South Carolina)

Washington Pigskins
21. 5T Chris Jones (Mississippi State)
53. CB Xavien Howard (Baylor)
84. WR Leonte Carroo (Rutgers)

 

 

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