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2016 NFL Mock Draft — Xavier Cromartie’s Three-Round Mock (8.0)

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Tags — mock draft, NFL Draft prospects, sleepers, dynasty rookie draft

Twitter @CFBMetrics, @FFMetrics 

 

At College Football Metrics, we want to outperform all other scouting services in correctly evaluating where teams should take prospects in the NFL Draft. But we also want to lead the way in predicting what teams will actually do with their draft picks. In 2015, we made our debut in The Huddle Report’s exclusive, expert-only NFL Draft contests. CFM took 5th place (out of 113) in the mock draft competition and 4th place (out of 56) in the top 100 board competition. In 2016, we want double crowns!

CFM has partnered with Xavier Cromartie (Twitter @xaviercromartie) to produce mock drafts and top 100 prospect boards based on his latest intel, research, and analysis. Xavier was the final grand prize winner of ESPN’s NFL Draft 1st Round Forecast game, and he is the undefeated Play The Draft Champion Emeritus.

Draft scenarios change as new information comes in during draft season, and so we will run updates here as often as Xavier makes adjustments to his mocks and boards.

 

New position labels:

9T = 9-technique = 3-4 OLB

7T = 7-technique = 4-3 DE

5T = 5-technique = 3-4 DE

3T = 3-technique = 4-3 DE

1T = 1-technique = 4-3 NT

0T = 0-technique = 3-4 NT

$LB = Moneybacker = the Deone Bucannon position

 

 

Round 1 (team/player/school/ + or – from last report/pick # last report)

 

  1. Los Angeles Rams (via TEN): QB Carson Wentz (North Dakota State) (+) 2

Needs: QB, FS, C, WR, CB

I give Wentz a 75% chance here over Goff.

 

  1. Cleveland Browns: QB Jared Goff (Cal) (+) 15

Needs: QB, WR, SS, FS, 9T

I am going to disagree with Jeremiah and Zierlein and say that CLE does not pass on a franchise QB for an injured 4-3 WLB.

 

  1. San Diego Chargers: OT Laremy Tunsil (Mississippi) 3

Needs: LT, 5T, FS, C, TE

Don’t overthink it.

 

  1. Dallas Cowboys: CB/S Jalen Ramsey (Florida State) (-) 1

Needs: 7T, 3T, CB, RB, WR

Their top choice all along.

 

  1. Jacksonville Jaguars: 7T Joey Bosa (Ohio State) 5

Needs: SS, 7T, C, MLB, CB

Only other real option would be Jack.

 

  1. Baltimore Ravens: 5T DeForest Buckner (Oregon) 6

Needs: 5T, 9T, G, CB, MLB

Should land either Bosa or Buckner.

 

  1. San Francisco 49ers: CB Vernon Hargreaves (Florida) (+) 8

Needs: QB, CB, WR, MLB, G

Starting at this pick, you have to start wondering about the true value of Paxton Lynch.

 

  1. Philadelphia Eagles (via MIA): RB Ezekiel Elliott (Ohio State) (+) 11

Needs: CB, G, RB, 7T, QB

Seems pretty likely at this point.

 

  1. Tampa Bay Buccaneers: 9T Leonard Floyd (Georgia) 9

Needs: CB, 7T, FS, RT, WR

Trade down candidate.

 

  1. New York Giants: OT Ronnie Stanley (Notre Dame) 10

Needs: LT, CB, MLB, FS, WR

Hargreaves and Jack are also appealing.

 

  1. Chicago Bears: OT Jack Conklin (Michigan State) (+) 13

Needs: LT, CB, 5T, 9T, RB

Probably would be fine with Stanley or Conklin.

 

  1. New Orleans Saints: WLB Myles Jack (UCLA) (-) 4

Needs: 7T, 3T, WLB, WR, CB

The Saints’ pick is uncertain; Jack’s stock is uncertain. Stick them together.

 

  1. Miami Dolphins (via PHI): CB William Jackson (Houston) (+) 25

Needs: CB, RB, G, WLB, 7T

They kind of have to take a CB here.

 

  1. Oakland Raiders: MLB Reggie Ragland (Alabama) (+) 18

Needs: MLB, 3T, 5T, SS, RB

Or a d-lineman.

 

  1. Tennessee Titans (via LA): OT Taylor Decker (Ohio State) (+) 20

Needs: RT, SS, FS, CB, G

They clearly want a right tackle. Conklin or Decker.

 

  1. Detroit Lions: 1T Vernon Butler (Louisiana Tech) (+) 46

Needs: LT, 3T, 7T, SS, C

I had this pick a long time ago, and now I’m coming back to it.

 

  1. Atlanta Falcons: WLB Darron Lee (Ohio State) 17

Needs: WLB, TE, SS, WR, 7T

Maybe one of the Clemson guys if Lee isn’t available.

 

  1. Indianapolis Colts: 1T Jarran Reed (Alabama) (-) 14

Needs: 9T, RB, 1T, RT, MLB

Seems too low for Floyd but too early for Noah Spence. Lots of talk about upgrading at NT.

 

  1. Buffalo Bills: 3T Sheldon Rankins (Louisville) (+) 31

Needs: 7T, RT, WLB, WR, QB

Some like Rankins around 10 whereas others say 30, so he goes near the middle of that range.

 

  1. New York Jets: QB Paxton Lynch (Memphis) (-) 7

Needs: 9T, QB, 5T, MLB, TE

Not necessarily at pick 20. Might move up. I match teams with players.

 

  1. Washington Pigskins: WR Laquon Treadwell (Mississippi) (+) 24

Needs: CB, MLB, 1T, C, WR

Like with the Saints, I don’t know what to do with the team nor the player, so they go together.

 

  1. Houston Texans: WR Will Fuller (Notre Dame) 22

Needs: WR, TE, SS, 5T, 0T

Or Coleman.

 

  1. Minnesota Vikings: WR Josh Doctson (Texas Christian) 23

Needs: WR, 3T, CB, C, WLB

Does anyone not have a WR here?

 

  1. Cincinnati Bengals: WR Corey Coleman (Baylor) (+) 32

Needs: WR, 7T, CB, 1T, SS

I still don’t understand the Anquan Boldin comparison.

 

  1. Pittsburgh Steelers: S Keanu Neal (Florida) (+) 29

Needs: CB, SS, 9T, LT, 1T

Whoever the best DB available is.

 

  1. Seattle Seahawks: OT Germain Ifedi (Texas A&M) 26

Needs: LT, RT, 3T, CB, G

Their whole o-line is rubbish.

 

  1. Green Bay Packers: OT Jason Spriggs (Indiana) 27

Needs: LT, MLB, WR, 1T, RB

They’ll settle for whichever LT is available.

 

  1. Kansas City Chiefs: CB Eli Apple (Ohio State) 28

Needs: CB, 9T, G, QB, WR

I doubt I’ll change this pick.

 

  1. Arizona Cardinals: 7T Kevin Dodd (Clemson) (-) 16

Needs: SS, C, 9T, CB, MLB

It is mock draft law that Dodd must go before Lawson.

 

  1. Carolina Panthers: 7T Shaq Lawson (Clemson) (-) 19

Needs: CB, SS, LT, RB, 7T

I’m just sticking these Clemson guys in the 1st round even though I think they’re more like 2nd rounders.

 

  1. Denver Broncos: 5T A’Shawn Robinson (Alabama) (-) 12

Needs: QB, 5T, G, WLB, RB

Do scouts just put Alabama players at the top of the rankings until they have time to watch other players?

 

*See more of our football work at Fantasy Football Metrics.com 

 

Round 2

  1. Cleveland Browns: WR Michael Thomas (Ohio State) (-) 21
  2. Tennessee Titans: CB Kendall Fuller (Virginia Tech) (+) 54
  3. Dallas Cowboys: RB Derrick Henry (Alabama) 34
  4. San Diego Chargers: 5T Chris Jones (Mississippi State) 35
  5. Baltimore Ravens: $LB Su’a Cravens (Southern California) (+) 58
  6. San Francisco 49ers: WR Tyler Boyd (Pittsburgh) (+) 57
  7. Jacksonville Jaguars: C Ryan Kelly (Alabama) (+) 43
  8. Tampa Bay Buccaneers: CB Artie Burns (Miami) (-) 37
  9. New York Giants: 3T Robert Nkemdiche (Mississippi) (+) 44
  10. Chicago Bears: CB Xavien Howard (Baylor) (-) 33
  11. Miami Dolphins: 7T Emmanuel Ogbah (Oklahoma State) (-) 30
  12. Tennessee Titans (via LA via PHI): CB/S TJ Green (Clemson) (+) 62
  13. Oakland Raiders: S Karl Joseph (West Virginia) (-) 39
  14. Tennessee Titans (via LA): 9T Noah Spence (Eastern Kentucky) (+) 48
  15. Detroit Lions: OT Le’Raven Clark (Texas Tech) (-) 36
  16. New Orleans Saints: QB Connor Cook (Michigan State) 47
  17. Indianapolis Colts: 9T Kamalei Correa (Boise State) (-) 41
  18. Buffalo Bills: QB Christian Hackenberg (Penn State) (+) 85
  19. Atlanta Falcons: TE Hunter Henry (Arkansas) 50
  20. New York Jets: 3T Jonathan Bullard (Florida) (+) 60
  21. Houston Texans: 0T Andrew Billings (Baylor) 52
  22. Washington Pigskins: 1T Kenny Clark (UCLA) 53
  23. Minnesota Vikings: CB Mackensie Alexander (Clemson) (-) 42
  24. Cincinnati Bengals: S Vonn Bell (Ohio State) (-) 38
  25. Seattle Seahawks: 3T Adolphus Washington (Ohio State) 56
  26. Green Bay Packers: 1T Austin Johnson (Penn State) (-) 55
  27. Pittsburgh Steelers: 9T Shilique Calhoun (Michigan State) (+) 59
  28. Kansas City Chiefs: 9T Kyler Fackrell (Utah State) (-) 51
  29. New England Patriots: WR Sterling Shepard (Oklahoma) (+) 68
  30. New England Patriots (via AZ): G Cody Whitehair (Kansas State) (+) 69
  31. Carolina Panthers: S Darian Thompson (Boise State) (+) 65
  32. Denver Broncos: G Joshua Garnett (Stanford) 63

 

 

Round 3

  1. Tennessee Titans: WR Braxton Miller (Ohio State) (-) 40
  2. Cleveland Browns: 9T Yannick Ngakoue (Maryland) (-) 64
  3. San Diego Chargers: C Nick Martin (Notre Dame) 66
  4. Dallas Cowboys: 7T Bronson Kaufusi (Brigham Young) (-) 50
  5. San Francisco 49ers: MLB Joshua Perry (Ohio State) (+) 71
  6. Jacksonville Jaguars: $LB Miles Killebrew (Southern Utah) (+) NR
  7. Baltimore Ravens: 9T Jordan Jenkins (Georgia) 70
  8. New York Giants: RB Jordan Howard (Indiana) (+) NR
  9. Chicago Bears: 5T Jihad Ward (Illinois) 72
  10. Miami Dolphins: RB Kenneth Dixon (Louisiana Tech) (+) 98
  11. Tampa Bay Buccaneers: OT Shon Coleman (Auburn) (+) NR
  12. Oakland Raiders: 3T Maliek Collins (Nebraska) (+) 86
  13. Tennessee Titans (via LA): G Christian Westerman (Arizona State) (+) NR
  14. Philadelphia Eagles: CB Zack Sanchez (Oklahoma) (-) 74
  15. New Orleans Saints: K Roberto Aguayo (Florida State) (-) 76
  16. Philadelphia Eagles (via DET): QB Cardale Jones (Ohio State) (+) 80
  17. Buffalo Bills: WLB Deion Jones (Louisiana State) (-) 49
  18. Atlanta Falcons: $LB Jeremy Cash (Duke) (+) NR
  19. Indianapolis Colts: RB Devontae Booker (Utah) (-) 77
  20. New York Jets: TE Nick Vannett (Ohio State) (+) 89
  21. Washington Pigskins: MLB Kentrell Brothers (Missouri) 84
  22. Houston Texans: TE Austin Hooper (Stanford) (-) 83
  23. Minnesota Vikings: 3T Sheldon Day (Notre Dame) (-) 79
  24. Cincinnati Bengals: 3T Hassan Ridgeway (Texas) (-) 67
  25. Green Bay Packers: WR Pharoh Cooper (South Carolina) (-) 81
  26. Pittsburgh Steelers: WR Charone Peake (Clemson) (-) 78
  27. Seattle Seahawks: CB/S Sean Davis (Maryland) (+) 92
  28. New England Patriots: 7T Carl Nassib (Penn State) (+) 96
  29. Arizona Cardinals: CB/S KeiVarae Russell (Notre Dame) (+) 93
  30. Carolina Panthers: RB Kenyan Drake (Alabama) (+) NR
  31. Denver Broncos: QB Dak Prescott (Mississippi State) 94
  32. Detroit Lions (comp): S Justin Simmons (Boston College) (-) 87
  33. New England Patriots (comp): C Graham Glasgow (Michigan) (-) 61
  34. Seattle Seahawks (comp): OT Caleb Benenoch (UCLA) 97
  35. Denver Broncos (comp): RB CJ Prosise (Notre Dame) (-) 73
  36. Cleveland Browns (4): OT Willie Beavers (Western Michigan) (-) 95
  37. Philadelphia Eagles (4) (via TEN): G Joe Dahl (Washington State) 100

 

Dropped out: RB Alex Collins (75), G Vadal Alexander (82), MLB Beniquez Brown (88), CB James Bradberry (90), WR Leonte Carroo (91), OT Joe Haeg (99)

 

Dynasty Rookie Draft analysis begins immediately after the draft on College Football Metrics.com. The first of 10-15 Dynasty Rookie Draft top 100+ (with IDP) rankings will hit immediately after the 2016 NFL Draft.

 

Team-by-team

 

 

Arizona Cardinals
29. 7T Kevin Dodd (Clemson)
93. CB/S KeiVarae Russell (Notre Dame)

Atlanta Falcons
17. WLB Darron Lee (Ohio State)
50. TE Hunter Henry (Arkansas)
81. $LB Jeremy Cash (Duke)

Baltimore Ravens
6. 5T DeForest Buckner (Oregon)
36. $LB Su’a Cravens (Southern California)
70. 9T Jordan Jenkins (Georgia)

Buffalo Bills
19. 3T Sheldon Rankins (Louisville)
49. QB Christian Hackenberg (Penn State)
80. WLB Deion Jones (Louisiana State)

Carolina Panthers
30. 7T Shaq Lawson (Clemson)
62. S Darian Thompson (Boise State)
93. RB Kenyan Drake (Alabama)

Chicago Bears
11. OT Jack Conklin (Michigan State)
41. CB Xavien Howard (Baylor)
72. 5T Jihad Ward (Illinois)

Cincinnati Bengals
24. WR Corey Coleman (Baylor)
55. S Vonn Bell (Ohio State)
87. 3T Hassan Ridgeway (Texas)

Cleveland Browns
2. QB Jared Goff (Cal)
32. WR Michael Thomas (Ohio State)
65. 9T Yannick Ngakoue (Maryland)
99. OT Willie Beavers (Western Michigan)

Dallas Cowboys
4. CB/S Jalen Ramsey (Florida State)
34. RB Derrick Henry (Alabama)
67. 7T Bronson Kaufusi (Brigham Young)

Denver Broncos
31. 5T A’Shawn Robinson (Alabama)
63. G Joshua Garnett (Stanford)
94. QB Dak Prescott (Mississippi State)
98. RB CJ Prosise (Notre Dame)

Detroit Lions
16. 1T Vernon Butler (Louisiana Tech)
46. OT Le’Raven Clark (Texas Tech)
95. S Justin Simmons (Boston College)

Green Bay Packers
27. OT Jason Spriggs (Indiana)
57. 1T Austin Johnson (Penn State)
88. WR Pharoh Cooper (South Carolina)

Houston Texans
22. WR Will Fuller (Notre Dame)
52. 0T Andrew Billings (Baylor)
85. TE Austin Hooper (Stanford)

Indianapolis Colts
18. 1T Jarran Reed (Alabama)
48. 9T Kamalei Correa (Boise State)
82. RB Devontae Booker (Utah)

Jacksonville Jaguars
5. 7T Joey Bosa (Ohio State)
38. C Ryan Kelly (Alabama)
69. $LB Miles Killebrew (Southern Utah)

Kansas City Chiefs
28. CB Eli Apple (Ohio State)
59. 9T Kyler Fackrell (Utah State)

Los Angeles Rams
1. QB Carson Wentz (North Dakota State)

Miami Dolphins
13. CB William Jackson (Houston)
42. 7T Emmanuel Ogbah (Oklahoma State)
73. RB Kenneth Dixon (Louisiana Tech)

Minnesota Vikings
23. WR Josh Doctson (Texas Christian)
54. CB Mackensie Alexander (Clemson)
86. 3T Sheldon Day (Notre Dame)

New England Patriots
60. WR Sterling Shepard (Oklahoma)
61. G Cody Whitehair (Kansas State)
91. 7T Carl Nassib (Penn State)
96. C Graham Glasgow (Michigan)

New Orleans Saints
12. WLB Myles Jack (UCLA)
47. QB Connor Cook (Michigan State)
78. K Roberto Aguayo (Florida State)

New York Giants
10. OT Ronnie Stanley (Notre Dame)
40. 3T Robert Nkemdiche (Mississippi)
71. RB Jordan Howard (Indiana)

New York Jets
20. QB Paxton Lynch (Memphis)
51. 3T Jonathan Bullard (Florida)
83. TE Nick Vannett (Ohio State)

Oakland Raiders
14. MLB Reggie Ragland (Alabama)
44. S Karl Joseph (West Virginia)
75. 3T Maliek Collins (Nebraska)

Philadelphia Eagles
8. RB Ezekiel Elliott (Ohio State)
77. CB Zack Sanchez (Oklahoma)
79. QB Cardale Jones (Ohio State)
100. G Joe Dahl (Washington State)

Pittsburgh Steelers
25. S Keanu Neal (Florida)
58. 9T Shilique Calhoun (Michigan State)
89. WR Charone Peake (Clemson)

San Diego Chargers
3. OT Laremy Tunsil (Mississippi)
35. 5T Chris Jones (Mississippi State)
66. C Nick Martin (Notre Dame)

San Francisco 49ers
7. CB Vernon Hargreaves (Florida)
37. WR Tyler Boyd (Pittsburgh)
68. MLB Joshua Perry (Ohio State)

Seattle Seahawks
26. OT Germain Ifedi (Texas A&M)
56. 3T Adolphus Washington (Ohio State)
90. CB/S Sean Davis (Maryland)
97. OT Caleb Benenoch (UCLA)

Tampa Bay Buccaneers
9. 9T Leonard Floyd (Georgia)
39. CB Artie Burns (Miami)
74. OT Shon Coleman (Auburn)

Tennessee Titans
15. OT Taylor Decker (Ohio State)
33. CB Kendall Fuller (Virginia Tech)
43. CB/S TJ Green (Clemson)
45. 9T Noah Spence (Eastern Kentucky)
64. WR Braxton Miller (Ohio State)
76. G Christian Westerman (Arizona State)

Washington Pigskins
21. WR Laquon Treadwell (Mississippi)
53. 1T Kenny Clark (UCLA)
84. MLB Kentrell Brothers (Missouri)

 

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