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2015 NFL Mock Draft Update: Version 4.02

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Xavier Cromartie’s three-round Mock Draft update from his 4.0 version post-Combine (a couple of 2nd-round moves)

 

Background infoXavier Cromartie interview

A new season of “Play The Draft” has begun(link) FFM ‘Play The Draft’ 2015—Enter the contest link   (link) FFM ‘Play The Draft’ 2015 prize package

 

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Mock Draft 4.01

  1. Tampa Bay Buccaneers: QB Jameis Winston

In mock 1.0, I said that Winston would shock the mainstream by putting up a 25-30 Wonderlic… At the Combine, his football IQ was being compared to Peyton Manning’s. Looks like the media’s ‘immature thug’ story was a bit one-sided.

 

  1. *TRADE* Philadelphia Eagles: QB Marcus Mariota

“The heart wants what it wants.” Imagine having a girlfriend who is great at all the relationship stuff, but is only a 5/10 in the looks department. That’s Foles to Chip Kelly. When you think you have a chance with a girl whom you think is a 10/10 physically (Mariota), you don’t think logically. You’re overwhelmed emotionally.

 

  1. Jacksonville Jaguars: DT Leonard Williams

Jacksonville doesn’t mind taking the perceived best defender in the draft.

 

  1. Oakland Raiders: WR Kevin White (+)

Credit to Daniel Jeremiah for predicting that White had Julio Jones speed.

 

  1. Washington Pigskins: OLB Dante Fowler (+)Fowler appears unlikely to escape the top 5, with potential to go as high as 2.

 

  1. New York Jets: WR Amari Cooper (-)

Cooper’s stock didn’t drop, but Kevin White surged ahead of him.

 

  1. Chicago Bears: NT Danny Shelton

Shelton remains the consensus pick at 7. Momentum may be slowly turning downward.

 

  1. Atlanta Falcons: OLB Vic Beasley (+)Beasley is the closest thing in this draft to Von Miller. He destroyed the Combine in every way possible.

 

  1. New York Giants: DE/OLB Randy Gregory (-)Gregory failed to make himself the clear-cut top pass rusher at the Combine.

 

  1. St. Louis Rams: G Brandon Scherff

Even with a projection to guard, most scouts put Scherff as one of the top talents in the draft.

 

  1. Minnesota Vikings: WR DeVante Parker

Parker did about as well as expected and remains a good bet to reunite with Bridgewater.

 

  1. Cleveland Browns: RT Ereck Flowers (+)

Flowers is expected to be a run-mauling right tackle.

 

  1. New Orleans Saints: OLB Alvin Dupree(+)

Dupree had a sensational Combine and is now discussed in the group of Gregory/Fowler/Beasley.

 

  1. Miami Dolphins: G La’el Collins

Collins needs to move to guard, but the Dolphins have a major need at that position.

 

  1. San Francisco 49ers: DE Arik Armstead

Armstead’s disappointing 40 time has been attributed to poor running form. Good vertical and his measurables did end up similar to Calais Campbell.

 

  1. Houston Texans: CB Trae Waynes (+)

He locked up the top CB spot with a 4.32.

 

  1. San Diego Chargers: LT DJ Humphries (+)

I was hot for Humphries before he got the Daniel Jeremiah push recently. He is the top left tackle in the draft.

 

  1. Kansas City Chiefs: LB Eric Kendricks (+)

A great Combine put Kendricks ahead of the other ILB prospects.

 

  1. Cleveland Browns: QB Brett Hundley (+)

A draft-day shocker… but what else do you do when your only QB is Johnny Rehab?

 

  1. *TRADE* Tennessee Titans: S Landon Collins

Collins should ultimately follow the same draft pattern as Clinton-Dix last season.

 

  1. Cincinnati Bengals: DT Malcom Brown

Brown is solidly in the 15-20 realm.

 

  1. Pittsburgh Steelers: OLB Shane Ray (-)

Count me among the Shane Ray haters.

 

  1. Detroit Lions: RB Todd Gurley

Melvin Gordon went from ‘special’ to ‘not Jamaal Charles’ at the Combine, putting Gurley back on top at RB.

 

  1. Arizona Cardinals: OLB Eli Harold

Pass rushers are clearly the strength of this class. Harold matched high expectations in the measurables.

 

  1. Carolina Panthers: LT Andrus Peat (-)

Peat is a left tackle, but he’s a project. Run blocker.

 

  1. Baltimore Ravens: OLB Danielle Hunter (+)

Another pass rusher who had a tremendous Combine. 

 

  1. Dallas Cowboys: CB Jalen Collins(+)

The erstwhile Quinten Rollins buzz has shifted over to Collins. Ran an acceptable 4.4.

 

  1. Denver Broncos: DE Eddie Goldman

Wade Phillips has a little bit of an unorthodox 3-4 scheme that would suit the metrics and abilities of Goldman.

 

  1. Indianapolis Colts: RB Melvin Gordon (-)

Gordon is still unlikely to fall out of the first round despite bland measurables. 

 

  1. Green Bay Packers: NT Jordan Phillips (+)

Nose tackles aren’t easy to find, and they need some beef on the d-line.

 

  1. Seattle Seahawks: WR Breshad Perriman (-)

It’s fair to say that a WR with size is a position of need in Seattle.

 

  1. New England Patriots: DT Carl Davis (+)

Some have Davis solidly in the first round, others think he’s lazy.

**See the 2015 NFL Draft and 2015 Dynasty Rookie Draft, like never before with our Moneyball-style scouting reports and rankings. Go to www.collegefootballmetrics.com **

 

 

Round 2

  1. Tennessee: CB Byron Jones (+)
  2. Tampa Bay: LB Bernardrick McKinney (+)
  3. Oakland: RT TJ Clemmings
  4. Jacksonville: DE Owamagbe Odighizuwa (+)
  5. New York Jets: CB Marcus Peters 
  6. Washington: CB Kevin Johnson (-)
  7. Chicago: DE Preston Smith (+)
  8. New York Giants: LT Jake Fisher (+)
  9. Saint Louis: ILB Denzel Perryman (-)
  10. Atlanta: C Cameron Erving (+)
  11. Cleveland: WR Jaelen Strong (-)
  12. New Orleans: CB Ronald Darby (-)
  13. Minnesota: OLB Shaq Thompson (-)
  14. San Francisco: WR Dorial Green-Beckham (-)
  15. Miami: WR Phillip Dorsett (-)
  16. San Diego: CB PJ Williams (-)
  17. Kansas City: LT Cedric Ogbuehi (+)
  18. Buffalo: TE Maxx Williams (-)
  19. Houston: RT Ty Sambrailo (-)
  20. Philadelphia: CB/S Eric Rowe (+)
  21. Cincinnati: DE Mario Edwards (+)
  22. Detroit: G AJ Cann (+)
  23. Arizona: RB David Johnson (+)
  24. Pittsburgh: CB Alex Carter (-)
  25. Carolina: WR Devin Smith (-)
  26. Baltimore: RT Donovan Smith (+) 
  27. Denver: CB/S Quinten Rollins (-)
  28. Dallas: DE Markus Golden (+)
  29. Indianapolis: WR Nelson Agholor 
  30. Green Bay: ILB Stephone Anthony (+)
  31. Seattle: DT Michael Bennett (-)
  32. New England: G Jeremiah Poutasi (+)

**Fantasy Football Metrics and College Football Metrics IDP Dynasty (three-year) projections now exist on the Fantasy Football Management technology: “The Machine.” See “The Machine” here (link): The Machine via FFM

 

Round 3

  1. Tampa Bay: G Tre Jackson (+)
  2. Tennessee: OLB Lorenzo Mauldin (-)
  3. Jacksonville: RT Daryl Williams (+)
  4. Oakland: RB Jay Ajayi (-) 
  5. Washington: S Ibraheim Campbell
  6. New York Jets: RB Ameer Abdullah (+)
  7. Chicago: FS Gerod Holliman 
  8. Saint Louis: WR Sammie Coates (-)
  9. Atlanta: RB TJ Yeldon (+)
  10. New York Giants: S Jaquiski Tartt (+)
  11. New Orleans: NT Ellis McCarthy (+)
  12. Minnesota: G Laken Tomlinson (-)
  13. Cleveland: TE Clive Walford (-)
  14. Miami: OLB Paul Dawson (-)
  15. San Francisco: G Ali Marpet (+)
  16. Kansas City: WR Justin Hardy (+)
  17. Buffalo: DE Nate Orchard
  18. Houston: NT Joey Mbu (+)
  19. San Diego: RB Duke Johnson (-)
  20. Philadelphia: CB Charles Gaines (+)
  21. Cincinnati: WR Rashad Greene
  22. Arizona: CB D’Joun Smith (-)
  23. Pittsburgh: DE Henry Anderson (+)
  24. Detroit: DT Grady Jarrett (+)
  25. Carolina: DE Trey Flowers (-)
  26. Baltimore: WR Devin Funchess (-)
  27. Dallas: RB Tevin Coleman (-)
  28. Denver: G Josue Matias (-)
  29. Indianapolis: C Hroniss Grasu 
  30. Green Bay: CB Senquez Golson (-)
  31. Seattle: CB Steven Nelson (-)
  32. New England: S James Sample (+)
  33. Compensatory: WR Chris Conley (+) 
  34. Compensatory: WR Darren Waller (+)
  35. Compensatory: DT Xavier Cooper (-)
  36. Compensatory: QB Jake Waters

Dropped out: S Chris Hackett (65), WR Jamison Crowder (78), CB Ifo Ekpre-Olomu (80), CB Jacoby Glenn (84), CB Kevin White (86), RB David Cobb (87), S Cody Prewitt (90), S Derron Smith (96), DT Marcus Hardison (97)

 

R.C. Fischer is an NFL Draft analyst for College Football Metrics.com, and a football projections analyst and writer for Fantasy Football Metrics.com. He is also a lead writer for ‘Play The Draft.com’. His group also provides player projections for Advanced Sports Logic’s football software “The Machine.” See “The Machine” here: The Machine via FFM

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