College Football Metrics

HOME     LOG-IN     SUBSCRIBE     VIEW CART

Monthly Archives: May 2014

NFL Draft 2014: ‘Small-WRs’ Ranking Board 2.0

NFL Draft 2014: ‘Small-WRs’ Rankings 2.0 

There are 78 “Small WR” prospects statistically graded and ranked here…

The prospect names include: Jared Abbrederis, Davante Adams, Odell Beckham Jr., Michael Campanaro, Brandin Cooks, Damian Copeland, Lee Doss, Bruce Ellington, Taylor Gabriel, Ryan Grant, Matt Hazel, Javontee Herndon, Robert Herron, Jon Krause, Jarvis Landry, Marqise Lee, Eric Lora, Bernard Reedy, Tevin Reese, Nathan Slaughter,, Sammy Watkins, Reese Wiggins, Albert Wilson among others.

 

tags — 2014 NFL Draft dynasty rookie draft idp mock draft 2014

 

2014 Dynasty Rookie Draft Ratings 3.0 (In progress)

Twitter @CFBMetrics

We are getting ready for our updated 3.0 version of 2014 Dynasty Draft Rookie prospect rankings. This thing is growing out of control: over 130 addressed and ranked with commentary for most all of them…including IDPs.

In this upcoming 3.0 version, we have the following teases:

– A swap in ranking among two prospects in our top-5

– One prospect is going to move up about 50+ spots from version 2.0

– We have also added a few names from the UDFA ranks. If you don’t know 2014 Dynasty Draft prospects Reese Wiggins and James Couplin, then you need to get cracking on your studies…or just let us do the grunt work for you.

Version 3.0 should be out early next week!

FYI, for those interested: The latest First-Round Dynasty Rookie ADPs from drafts we’ve observed in the past 7-10 days:

1.01: Sammy Watkins, Buffalo = Nothing can move this mountain. You see the occasional Mike Evans or Bishop Sankey, but Watkins in ingrained in the Dynasty psyche. He’s still not in our top-5.

1.02: Mike Evans, Tampa Bay = As more Dynasty league drafts take place, more ‘marks’ are participating, and thus the ‘typical’ names are rising to the top. Evans is not in our top-5.

1.03: Bishop Sankey, Tennessee = I’m not sure what the bias is, but the mainstream Dynasty GM is not sold like others are. The ‘sharks’ are all over him, but ‘average joe’ is not as smitten as I thought they’d be. They might on him in a few weeks, but not now.

1.04: Brandin Cooks, New Orleans = He’s in a pretty tight band of going between #3-5 in most all Dynasty Drafts of late.

1.05: Eric Ebron, Detroit = Visions of Jimmy Graham are still dancing in the mainstream’s heads.

1.06: Odell Beckham Jr., NY Giants = I really don’t know what the appeal is here. The football public and analysts alike love this guy. I guess they still love Eli?

1.07: Jordan Matthews, Philadelphia = I take full credit for this because he would be a 1.10+ without me the last four months.

1.08: Kelvin Benjamin, Carolina = I get it. The Carolina WR group is bad, so why would that help Benjamin hit the ground running? FYI: Looking at it again this week…I have no idea what Carolina is doing at WR. Marvin McNutt may lead them in receiving in 2014…seriously. 

1.09: Carlos Hyde, San Francisco = I’ve seen him go as high as #3 the past few days. Wow.

1.10: Davante Adams, Green Bay = People are waking up to the James Jones math here.

1.11: Terrance West, Cleveland = A lot of Fantasy folks are buzzards circling over Ben Tate already.

1.12: Marqise Lee, Jacksonville = Why?

 

Fastest Risers: Devonta Freeman, Atlanta and Colt Lyerla, Green Bay

Biggest Decliners: Johnny Manziel, Cleveland and Paul Richardson, Seattle

 

 — R.C. Fischer is an NFL Draft analyst for College Football Metrics.com, and a football projections analyst for Fantasy Football Metrics.com. His group also provides player projections for Advanced Sports Logic’s football software “The Machine.” See “The Machine” here: The Machine via FFM

**See the 2014 Dynasty Rookie Draft, like never before with our Moneyball-style scouting reports and rankings. Go to www.collegefootballmetrics.com **

** See more of our football analysis at www.fantasyfootballmetrics.com **

 

2014 Undrafted Free Agent (UDFA) Commentary: Philadelphia Eagles

Twitter @CFBMetrics

Trey Burton is an interesting NFL prospect. He is listed as a WR, but is also noted as playing QB-FB-RB-H-Back in college as well. He burst onto the scene as a freshman with 11 rushing TDs in just 75 carries…a specialist near the end-zone. He played QB-RB-WR in his college debut season. Each subsequent college season, Burton became less and less of a factor. He may be a jack of all trades, and master of none for the NFL. He does not have the athleticism to be a WR (32” vertical, poor agility), and he is too small to be an effective TE (6’2”, 224). He is more of a small FB, or H-back at best. I would take a look at him as an OLB, if I were running the show, but that’s just me…

Blake Annen is a very athletic TE prospect (4.41 40-time, 6’4”/247) that has better hands (on tape) than his low output numbers would dictate (16 rec. for 183 yards and 2 TDs in 10 games). Annen is the quintessential smart UDFA grab…a raw, overlooked, beyond NFL skill-set. prospect

Nebraska QB-WR Taylor Martinez has ‘next Julian Edelman’ type of possibilities at 6’0”, 201-pounds and runs a 4.45 40-time. He is very athletic and could translate as a slot/possession WR or Free Safety.

I like Toledo RB David Fluellen (5’11”+, 224), ever since I first saw him at the Senior Bowl workouts. With Bryce Brown out of the way, I think Fluellen could push Chris Polk for that 3rd-RB job, but probably not until 2015. He has NFL-starter abilities.

Missouri RB Henry Josey is a Darren Sproles-alike: 5’8”+, 194-pounds. He has 4.39 40-time speed with moderate agility, but a 20 rep bench strength. He is an NFL-level talent, but he may be a casualty of the numbers game with Philly’s backfield.

— R.C. Fischer is an NFL Draft analyst for College Football Metrics.com, and a football projections analyst for Fantasy Football Metrics.com. His group also provides player projections for Advanced Sports Logic’s football software “The Machine.” See “The Machine” here: The Machine via FFM

**See the 2014 Dynasty Rookie Draft, like never before with our Moneyball-style scouting reports and rankings. Go to www.collegefootballmetrics.com **

** See more of our football analysis at www.fantasyfootballmetrics.com **

 

2014 Undrafted Free Agent (UDFA) Commentary: Chicago Bears

 Twitter @CFBMetrics

Northern Illinois QB Jordan Lynch is the headline UDFA for the Bears 2014. The former star college QB is being converted to RB. It makes sense with his 6’0”, 217-pound frame…which is like an Adrian Peterson size. However, he does not possess the full speed of AP, but he does have elite agility…which is why he was so good/elusive in college as a runner-passer QB. He might make it eventually, but I suspect a year or two of the practice squad is in store for him.

TCU OT prospect James Dunbar is a athletic OT prospect …especially athletic for a 6’5”+, 311-pound OT-OG-DE. A very raw prospect with ‘hope’.

Alabama OLB prospect Tana Patrick is not measuring in our system with NFL possibilities.

Wisconsin OG prospect Ryan Groy is one of the better OGs out there, and a great pull as a UDFA for Chicago.

The first thing I would do after greeting Iowa WR prospect Don Shumpert to training camp is introduce him to the secondary coach for a tryout as a CB. Shumpert is 6’1”, 198-pounds, runs a 4.4+ with a 40” vertical, and NFL agility…and almost no WR performance to speak of in college (15 catches for 195 yards and 0 TDs in best season).

— R.C. Fischer is an NFL Draft analyst for College Football Metrics.com, and a football projections analyst for Fantasy Football Metrics.com. His group also provides player projections for Advanced Sports Logic’s football software “The Machine.” See “The Machine” here: The Machine via FFM

**See the 2014 Dynasty Rookie Draft, like never before with our Moneyball-style scouting reports and rankings. Go to www.collegefootballmetrics.com **

** See more of our football analysis at www.fantasyfootballmetrics.com **

 

2014 Undrafted Free Agent (UDFA) Commentary: Miami Dolphins

 Twitter @CFBMetrics 

North Dakota State QB Brock Jensen has a ton of moxie, but will likely not make it to become an NFL starting QB someday. The measurables and output metrics just aren’t there.

USC SS Demetrius Wright is big (6’0”, 203, 20 bench reps), but mediocre in speed and poor agility.

Alabama CB prospect Deion Belue is not going to make the roster, and likely not the practice squad either.

Utah StateC enter prospect Tyler Larsen is a steal for the Dolphins. The 2nd–best rated Center our computer models showed for 2014.

Oklahoma RB Damien Williams has the size (5’11″, 222), but not the athleticism to be an impact NFL RB.

— R.C. Fischer is an NFL Draft analyst for College Football Metrics.com, and a football projections analyst for Fantasy Football Metrics.com. His group also provides player projections for Advanced Sports Logic’s football software “The Machine.” See “The Machine” here: The Machine via FFM

**See the 2014 Dynasty Rookie Draft, like never before with our Moneyball-style scouting reports and rankings. Go to www.collegefootballmetrics.com **

** See more of our football analysis at www.fantasyfootballmetrics.com **

 

2014 Undrafted Free Agent (UDFA) Commentary: Tennessee Titans

 Twitter @CFBMetrics

Many have noted how well the Titans have drafted on the O-Line the past two years. Their run continues in the UDFA period: In our book, they stole the best Center prospect in the entire 2014 NFL Draft with multiple time Academic All-American Gabe Ikard from Oklahoma. I cannot believe he was not drafted.

Virginia Tech DE prospect James Gayle has NFL athleticism, but was only mediocre in performance output in college. We don’t think he’ll make it, but there is some ‘hope’ here.

Western Kentucky RB prospect Antonio Andrews had a terrible go of it at the NFL Combine. His poor measurables translates to a ‘no-go’ in the pros.

— R.C. Fischer is an NFL Draft analyst for College Football Metrics.com, and a football projections analyst for Fantasy Football Metrics.com. His group also provides player projections for Advanced Sports Logic’s football software “The Machine.” See “The Machine” here: The Machine via FFM

**See the 2014 Dynasty Rookie Draft, like never before with our Moneyball-style scouting reports and rankings. Go to www.collegefootballmetrics.com **

** See more of our football analysis at www.fantasyfootballmetrics.com **

 

2014 Undrafted Free Agent (UDFA) Commentary: Baltimore Ravens

 Twitter @CFBMetrics 

Tennessee-Martin WR Jeremy Butler has the size (6’1”+, 224), and nice production (90 rec., 1,203 yards, 10 TDs last season), but not the athleticism (4.60 40-time, poor agility) to make a big impact in the NFL.

Texas Tech OLB Terrance Bullitt is a well above-average athlete translating to the NFL, but was not a huge producer in college. There is hope here that Bullitt develops into an NFL starter someday, but not right away…if ever.

I know…I’m crazy, but for some reason I like Michigan RB Fitzgerald Touissant. The computer is intrigued, but I’m also intrigued. He’s too NFL-small to fully love (5’10”, 200), but his 32 carry, 151 yard, 4 TD performance vs. Indy in 2013 caught my attention…as did his five 100+ yard rushing efforts in 2011. There is no way he makes the loaded Ravens roster, but he might surface somewhere.

Western Kentucky ILB Xavius Boyd had a great 2013 (103 tackles, 15.5 TFLs, and 7.5 sacks), some say a better prospect than his drafted teammate Andrew Jackson (5th-round/Indy).

Georgetown SS Dustin Wharton is an intriguing size-power combo (5’10”, 207, 34 bench reps), but he did not tear up the lower levels of college. Interesting, but a long-shot.

Ashland DT Jamie Meder has decent athleticism measurables to be an NFL 4-3 DT. He was a solid producer in college.

— R.C. Fischer is an NFL Draft analyst for College Football Metrics.com, and a football projections analyst for Fantasy Football Metrics.com. His group also provides player projections for Advanced Sports Logic’s football software “The Machine.” See “The Machine” here: The Machine via FFM

**See the 2014 Dynasty Rookie Draft, like never before with our Moneyball-style scouting reports and rankings. Go to www.collegefootballmetrics.com **

** See more of our football analysis at www.fantasyfootballmetrics.com **

 

2014 Undrafted Free Agent (UDFA) Commentary: Oakland Raiders

 Twitter @CFBMetrics

Utah FB Karl Williams has a great physical profile: 5’11”+, 244-pounds and runs a 4.50 40-time. He did little in college (15 carries for 51 yards in best season). I’d try to make him a Middle Linebacker if I were running the Raiders.

Notre Dame RB George Atkinson has size (6’1”, 218) and athleticism (4.48 40-time) as well, but like Williams he has weaker college production (555 yards rushing and 3 TDs in best season).

Virginia Tech WR D.J. Coles fits the running UDFA theme: Big (6’3”, 225), athletic (4.48 40-time), and under-productive (25 rec. for 387 yards and 6 TDs in best season).

Texas WR Mike Davis goes the other way: Nice production (57 rec. for 939 yards and 7 TDs in best season), but not as exciting athletically (4.50 40-time, weaker agility, low vertical).

Winston Salem OLB Carlos Fields Jr. is fast, but needs weight room bulking up, and was not a big performer at the lower levels.

— R.C. Fischer is an NFL Draft analyst for College Football Metrics.com, and a football projections analyst for Fantasy Football Metrics.com. His group also provides player projections for Advanced Sports Logic’s football software “The Machine.” See “The Machine” here: The Machine via FFM

**See the 2014 Dynasty Rookie Draft, like never before with our Moneyball-style scouting reports and rankings. Go to www.collegefootballmetrics.com **

** See more of our football analysis at www.fantasyfootballmetrics.com **

 

2014 Undrafted Free Agent (UDFA) Commentary: Carolina Panthers

Twitter @CFBMetrics

Texas CB Carrington Byndom is a very interesting developmental CB: a 4.53 40-time and 33 passes-defended in his college career. He’s a nice height at 5’11”+, but runs into NFL-translation problems with a thin-frame (177 pounds). With a year or two of weight room work, you might have an NFL CB here.

Purdue DT Bruce Gaston is fairly athletic at 6’2”, 308-pounds. He was a moderate producer in college. Our computer models see some ‘hope’ here.

Missouri WR prospect Marcus Lucas has possibilities as a 6’3”+, 218-pound WR who ran a 4.53 40-time at the 2014 NFL Combine. He is a little stiff/non-agile, and was an under-performer in college, but has an NFL body worth looking at in camp.

UAB RB Darrin Reaves is powerfully built at 5’6”+, 209-pounds and a 20 rep bench press tally. He measures with marginal NFL speed and agility, and that will probably keep him out of making an NFL roster.

Michigan State OLB Denicos Allen was very productive in the Big-10 (98 tackles, 16.5 TFLs in best season), but measured poorly in drills at his Pro Day. He’s a long-shot.

— R.C. Fischer is an NFL Draft analyst for College Football Metrics.com, and a football projections analyst for Fantasy Football Metrics.com. His group also provides player projections for Advanced Sports Logic’s football software “The Machine.” See “The Machine” here: The Machine via FFM

**See the 2014 Dynasty Rookie Draft, like never before with our Moneyball-style scouting reports and rankings. Go to www.collegefootballmetrics.com **

** See more of our football analysis at www.fantasyfootballmetrics.com **

 

2014 Undrafted Free Agent (UDFA) Commentary: Washington Redskins

Twitter @CFBMetrics 

USC RB prospect Silas Redd is a ‘tweener’ (5’9”+, 213) with poor NFL athleticism translation (4.68 40-time at the NFL Combine). No way that he cracks the Redskins roster. In that same thought process: Notre Dame’s Tommy Rees will not be an NFL QB.

BYU WR Cody Hoffman has some NFL potential. He has the NFL size (6’3”+, 223) with decent speed and nice agility, but poor vertical (27.5” at the NFL Combine) and a low bench press (13 reps). There is some hope here, but it will probably take time on the practice squad. In 2012, Hoffman had 100 catches for 1,248 yards and 11 TDs.

Hampton FS Justin Blake is a fast, agile, but a little undersized at 5’9”, 189-pounds.

We do like Arkansas DT prospect Robert Thomas. Great size: 6’1”+, 327-pounds with 37 bench rep strength. He tested slower (for his size), but he is also coming off a leg injury in 2013. There is upside here.

Fresno State CB L.J. Jones is a useful extra DB, with some shot an upside to a bigger role.

Southern WR Lee Doss is a very thin-framed (6’1”, 178) prospect with decent athleticism…he might be worth a look as a CB prospect, but anything with him will take a few years development.

Indiana WR Kofi Hughes has great size for slot/possession WR (6’0”+, 208) and runs a 4.5+ 40-time with 24 bench rep strength, but shaky ground on everything else including moderate college performance.

North Dakota State CB Bryan Shepherd has good speed, agility, but is also a little too small for the position at 5’9”+, 180-pounds.

— R.C. Fischer is an NFL Draft analyst for College Football Metrics.com, and a football projections analyst for Fantasy Football Metrics.com. His group also provides player projections for Advanced Sports Logic’s football software “The Machine.” See “The Machine” here: The Machine via FFM

**See the 2014 Dynasty Rookie Draft, like never before with our Moneyball-style scouting reports and rankings. Go to www.collegefootballmetrics.com **

** See more of our football analysis at www.fantasyfootballmetrics.com **

 

College Football Metrics

HOME       CONTACT US