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Monthly Archives: January 2014

LSU FB J.C. Copeland note: He’s going a lot higher in the 2014 NFL Draft than where he is projected at today

Twitter @CFBMetrics

So I’ve started watching tape of the 2014 RB prospects. I was excited to see more action on LSU’s huge 230+ pound RB Jeremy Hill. However, watching his tape…I spent most of the time marveling at LSU FB J.C. Copeland.

I’ve been breaking down college prospect tape for every position for 4+ years now. I’ve watched nearly every NFL game in that span as well. I do not recall ever noticing/getting excited about the FB play–until J.C. Copeland.

Copeland is 5’10″+ and 270+ pounds–a converted defensive end. He is a true Mack truck as a lead blocker. He’s not just a novelty act…he can move like an NFL FB. I was a little biased on Copeland because I had watched him in NFLPA Collegiate Bowl practices, and he was a monster in those workouts as well. When I was watching tape on Jeremy Hill, I kept noting: “Man, this guy has nothing but wide-open holes to run through.” It hit me to go back and watch the bigger plays again and see if Copeland was in the backfield. All I can say is: It helps to have a 270-280+ pound FB who loves to mash people as your lead into any given hole.

J.C. Copeland will go much higher in the NFL Draft than his current 5th-6th round projections, to a team that still utilizes the FB. The Ravens, Jets, or Chiefs might seriously fall in love here. If you are talking about difference-making, totally unique entity in the 2014 NFL Draft–J.C. Copeland may be at the top of the list.

How did LSU not win more games with this backfield just plowing over everyone?

Why did Copeland not see more touches this season? It seemed like he saw more attention in the NFLPA All-Star game than for LSU.

With this backfield, how did Zach Mettenberger not throw for more yards and TDs?

**College Football Metrics 2014 is now open. See the NFL Draft, and the Dynasty Rookie Draft, like never before. Go to www.collegefootballmetrics.com **

tags — 2014 NFL Draft Jeremy Hill dynasty rookie draft J.C. Copeland sleeper

 

NFL Draft 2014: QB Caleb Herring, UNLV

Twitter @CFBMetrics

NFL Draft 2014: Statistical Analysis of QB Caleb Herring, UNLV

Caleb Herring lost his starting QB job due to a couple of seasons of lackluster performance, and was converted to WR in 2012. In 2013, he took back the starting QB job and led UNLV to its first Bowl game since 2000, while throwing for 24 TDs/5 INTs on the season. His solid 2013 led him to receive an invite to the NFLPA Collegiate Bowl All-Star game a few weeks ago. Herring is a mobile/Pistol-type of QB prospect that is drawing some NFL Draft attention. Is the scouting attention warranted? Read our 1,300+ word scouting evaluation on Caleb Herring at www.collegefootballmetrics.com

 

 

NFL Draft 2014 Scouting Report: QB Tom Savage, Pittsburgh

Twitter @CFBmetrics

NFL Draft 2014: Statistical Analysis of QB Tom Savage, Pittsburgh

Well, let’s play this card now. When we do so, please note that no major (public) scouting service of note has anywhere this high of a rating on Pitt QB Tom Savage today. In fact, I think there was legislation written in Congress that Savage must be ranked between #15-17 in this 2014 QB class. The same people who claim that there is “no science to this” somehow all have the same exact ranking range on Savage…coincidence? We feel, at this stage of the evaluation period, that Tom Savage is a top-5 QB prospect in this draft class. He makes a strong case as a top-3. I could see the world looking back in time and saying Savage was the best QB from this class. Sound crazy, perhaps it is? Those in the media that will now start claiming Savage as their “sleeper”–please give us some credit over here! You want 2,500+ words laying out a case for Tom Savage; you got it. See our full report at College Football Metrics.com: 

http://www.metricsfootballmedia.com/cfmsubscriber/2014/QB_Savage_Tom.html

 tags — 2014 NFL Draft Tom Savage Dynasty Rookie Mock Draft 2014

 

NFL Draft 2014: Statistical Analysis of QB Brett Smith, Wyoming

Twitter @CFBMetrics, @FFMetrics

Wyoming QB Brett Smith began the early 2014 NFL Draft evaluations as a top-5 ranked QB prospect for CBS Sports. He has since moved to a #8 ranking. ESPN has pushed Smith into their top-12. I never hear this guy’s name mentioned anywhere, but national scouting organizations seem to be fans. Smith is a three-year starter who compiled 76 TDs through the air and another 21 TDs on the ground in his career. Opening game of 2013, Smith threw for 383 yards and 4 TDs in a near-miss defeat of Nebraska. Smith threw for 7 TDs and ran for another against Hawaii this season. Is this a hot sleeper getting completely overlooked in the media…or another nice Mountain West Conference QB who will be forgotten? Read our 1,200+ word scouting report of Wyoming QB Brett Smith at College Football Metrics.com: 

http://collegefootballmetrics.com/scouting/index_pubsort.htm

 tags — 2014 NFL Draft, Brett Smith Dynasty Rookie Draft

 

2014 Reese’s Senior Bowl Game Recap and Scouting Notes…

Twitter @CFBMetrics

Everything you would want to know about my Senior Bowl week experience was encompassed with an event that happened with a little over two minutes to go in the Senior Bowl game on Saturday.

Let me set up the context…

What is the Senior Bowl for, really? It is a chance for some of the nation’s best college senior football players to show their stuff to their future employers. Most every NFL team had between 5-10+ people from their organization milling around that event all week. Lord knows how many media folks were present as well. The practices were covered everyday by the NFL Network. Fans of the players and NFL Draft hung on every morsel of buzz the media sent out. This entire event is a big career deal for a college prospect.

As a player, I would want a chance to show the world what I can do. As a fan, or NFL exec, I want to see what these players can do against other talented players. You would think the NFL coaching staff assigned to each team would play into that thought process all week, because nobody cares who wins the game; everyone cares about observing top CBs face off against top WRs, and DL vs. OL, and QBs throwing in 7-on-7, and 11-on-11 drills. The Atlanta staff (coaching the North) seemed to be much more in tune with that reality of show casing the players. The Jacksonville Jaguars staff (coaching the South) seemed much more in tune with showcasing their own coaching ‘prowess’.

I watched most of the practices during the week. I was particularly annoyed with what the Jacksonville Jaguars coaches were doing at every turn. Each team had just two hours to practice each day. They only went full pads a couple of days during the week. The Atlanta staff seemed to jump right into organizing several head-to-head drills that scouts could semi-sink their teeth into. The Jacksonville staff chewed up a huge amount of time stretching, doing arm circles, and light high-knee running. About 10% of the valuable time was used on things a Pee-Wee football coach would do for the first 15-20 minutes of a nightly practice. This turned into a showcase for the conditioning coach who barked silly things like, “We got to get better every time,” while finely tuned athletes did standing neck rolls. The comedy of that was most players were out on the field 20-30+ minutes ahead of the scheduled start time warming up on their own. They probably worked out in the gym before practice. They are in peak physical condition. So it only made sense for the Jags staff to run 15-20 minutes of more stretching and low-speed backpedal jogs. In a very critical showcase for these college seniors, the Jags took a chunk of it to show off their conditioning coach’s passion.

When the Jacksonville staff wasn’t getting players all stretched out, they were very quick to work on setting up punt coverage and kick return formations. I realize that in the NFL, if you coach the Jaguars, that punting and kick returns are of the utmost importance, because you spend an inordinate amount of time engaged in both activities…but why waste so much time doing it in for a college all-star game? There was so much wasted time in practice with a machine spouting a faux kickoff, while the players worked on their lanes and getting lined up in a non-contact format…I was stunned. They could have done all that at the “in shorts” practices. Why do that when you can during your limited full pad events? That really helps everyone know the capabilities of the players…watching them milling around and lining up for onside kick coverage.

At a certain point during one of the practices, the Jaguars staff took time to do an end-around play on offense, and also to set up a lateral pass to a WR for him to then throw a pass…a double-pass. Why would you waste time with this? With the hectic, limited time you have, why would you not stick with meat and potatoes plays and just let these guys shine at what they do? What good is it having WRs throwing passes in practice? I thought, surely, they would never waste time with a double-pass in an all-star game…what would be the point? I was wrong.

Sure enough, with the South (Jacksonville coached) team driving with 2+ minutes left in the game, they tried a double-pass. Now, at that point in the game, David Fales (7-8 for 104 yards, 1 TD/1 INT) had been leading an excellent drive, and was on the verge of possibly being named MVP of the Senior Bowl had he punched in another TD pass from the 12-yard line. Had Fales thrown another TD, he would have been 7 of 8 passing with 2 passing TDs—and he would have dwarfed all the other QBs despite his limited snaps. On 2nd and eight from 12-yards away…they called for the double-pass. What an excellent time to show all the fans, and NFL scouts, what a brilliant coaching staff you are by calling for a play you worked on once or twice in practice. What a service you do for the QB who needs red-zone exposure, or a big WR who would like to show how he can fight for an alley-oop, or for the RB who would like to pound the ball in close quarters…what a service you are doing to them by tossing the ball backwards to Kevin Norwood (4 rec. for 53 yards and 1 TD, 0-1 passing with an INT), so that he can under throw a wounded duck that gets picked off in the end-zone. How utterly delightful. How clever. How blind, and arrogant.

You wonder why I am not shaken in my belief that Ricky Stanzi is an NFL talent being overlooked…’shaken’ because the Jaguars didn’t use him this year. Now you know why anything Jacksonville does will not affect my own scouting evaluations. I was miffed at the wasted practice time stretching, and the WR double-pass in a showcase game, PLUS watching the Jags QB coach taking time to make his non-mobile QBs (Carr, Garoppolo, Fales) practice doing 360 spin moves out of the pocket…because that’s so natural. Do you really have to teach QBs at this stage that when pressure is coming to get out of the way? Making slow QBs do a 360 is just allowing more time for them to get creamed.

You think the NFL is filled with the best and the brightest. You think they have some special insight because they work with the players up close. I spent almost a week in Alabama behind the scenes, and I can tell you it is as flawed a business model; just like any big corporation or bureaucracy…only the NFL has more nepotism than the other business models. There are great organizations, and great NFL executives and scouts, no doubt. But like any big company—there are more duds working there, than mega-talents. I’m not saying that to put them down, or to shame them. I’m just pointing out it’s not as magical as we would all think it is. It’s just a regular dude, flaws and all, behind the curtain in the land of Oz. We, as fans or journalists, are not insane for critiquing or second-guessing them.

As far as the players in the game:

 

The South QBs:

Let me just point out this. I’m not sure when the secret meeting was held, but I know it happened, to promote Derek Carr (7-12 for 45 yards, 1 TD/0 INT) as the best QB ever…but everyone at the NFL Network got the memo. Pre-game and post-game coverage was all about how great Derek Carr looked in practice all week, and how awesome he was in this game. I was there most all week, and I watched the Senior Bowl game…he was neither.

Carr looks like a really good QB in a quick visual snapshot, so scouts with a bad eye will like him…especially if they put in little work, or don’t know what they are looking at otherwise. It’s easy enough to just copy what the guy before you said, and you’re apt to sound smart on TV. I watched the South QBs more than anything this week (Carr, Garoppolo, Fales), and none of three stood out…meaning they were all fine; they all looked solid in non-contact drills and basic 3-on-3, 7-on-7 work. At worst, anyone covering practices should have commented how Garoppolo and Fales held their own with the more lauded Carr…but that doesn’t fit the narrative. The template is set: Derek Carr is great…and no one else exists (a little hyperbole’). That message is subtly shoved down viewer’s throats and becomes an accepted mantra…as fans covet Carr for their team…or Fantasy Football GMs make a play for Carr this year. Carr was not as good as advertised. He was fine, but not leap years ahead. I’d argue he was 3rd best of the three South QBs.

Carr led a scoring drive on the opening possession of the Senior Bowl. He did what he seemingly always does—one-step, quick throws to a WR, and/or seeking out short crossing routes. He is excellent with those. He has a cannon arm with a quick release. The problem is that Carr is flustered (to me) looking deeper down field. He’d rather dump things short. I saw it on his college tape. I saw it in Senior Bowl practices, and I saw it in the Senior Bowl game. He throws short like none other…but as his game against USC showed us, when superior athletes start to take that away, Carr is in trouble. Later in the Senior Bowl game, defenders started jumping Carr’s short passes…a pick-six rocketed off a DBs chest in this game. None of the NFL Network talking heads harped on that.

When Carr went out, Jimmy Garoppolo (6-11 for 32 yards, 0 TD/0 INT) came in and went anti-Derek Carr. He immediately started looking deeper and over-the-middle. Garoppolo has a very quick release, and throws a tight, fast-paced spiral. He is aggressive and fearless…where Carr (to me) plays scared and safe. To me, no scout could possibly watch the difference of Carr and Garoppolo in this game and not be panting over Garoppolo. Except, every NFL Network analyst came on to talk about how great Derek Carr was in the post-game. Garoppolo instantly took charge, and tried to make things happen down field—he just has the presence of a high-end QB. Carr looks like every safe-throwing backup QB in the NFL.

David Fales has already been written off at the same secret group football meeting that decided Derek Carr was awesome. Fales got the “weak NFL arm” label from one person…and the echo chamber, group-think machine went to work to pass it along to the masses. All Fales did was come in and fire a rocket, deeper over the middle for a 23-yard gain on his first throw…a longer pass than Derek Carr ever dreams about, and it was greeted with “ho-hum.” Actually, it was a little more shocking for analysts…because Fales is supposed to be weak-armed, that’s what the talking points said. Fales’s arm strength is fine.

In practices, I would say it was close to an even split on how all three of the South QBs looked. In media hype all week, it was 90% accolades for Derek Carr, and 10% scraps for Fales and Garoppolo to fight over.

 

The WRs:

Kevin Norwood got the target attention in this game early on, but my eyeballs all week told me that Jordan Matthews (2 rec. for 38 yards) of Vanderbilt was the best WR at the Senior Bowl, and it wasn’t close. Matthews got ignored the 1st-half of this game by Derek Carr…again, quite a savvy QB to not look for your top WR talent. David Fales did not totally ignore Matthews. Later in the game, Matthews got in with Fales (he was usually in with Carr). Fales hit Matthews on a perfectly lofted deep ball down the sidelines where Matthews had to go Willie Mays with a gorgeous over-the-shoulder catch…the best, NFL-like catch of the game.

I don’t like Matthews just because he had a nice catch in an all-star game. I’m not sure I will like Matthews until I see his NFL Combine data. I do know that I liked what I saw of Matthews on the practice field all week. He was a guy I often saw interacting with coaches pre-practice, and the guy who was talking and working with other players on technique…and was not just idly milling around. I will tell you what our computer thinks about Matthews in a few weeks, but if he has NFL measurables—he’s going to be a great addition to an NFL locker room and team.

I feel bad for the North WRs, because their QBs were so horrific. On the South, you had three QBs who will all start for an NFL team someday (deserved or not). On the North, you have three QBs that may never take a snap in the NFL. It was hard to judge the WR/TE talent for the North squad in this atmosphere.

The best WR I saw all week on the North had to leave with an emergency, and that was WR Jared Abbrederis of Wisconsin. Abbrederis has phenomenal hands. He will be like an Austin Collie (back in the Colts days) type of WR.

Robert Herron (1 rec. for 12 yards), a 5’8”+, 193-pound WR out of Wyoming caught my eye a few times. He was kinda Lance Moore-ish. It was hard to tell for sure because of the QB play.

Eric Thomas (1 rec. for 8 yards) was a very late add to the team, and had a brilliant, leaping catch for a key 1st-down. I look forward to researching him more post-NFL Combine.

I can tell you this: Jeff Janis (2 rec. for 7 yards) looked a step behind the others all week in practice, and had a bad pass drop in the game. Every time I watched Janis, I wondered how he got an invite. He seems like a nice dude, and a scrappy player, but he also looked over his head—gotta be honest.

 

The RBs:

Lorenzo Taliaferro (8 carries for 31 yards) was the best RB on either team—best in practice, and best in the game. He is a 6’0, 231-pound wrecking ball of a runner.

Toledo RB David Fluellen (8 rec. for 44 yards) might be the best all-around RB prospect. He is 5’11”+ and 226-pounds, and is built to run for power, but looks faster than Taliaferro. Fluellen didn’t stand out as much as Taliaferro, but he might rate more highly for us once the NFL Combine numbers hit.

Wisconsin RB James White (11 carries for 62 yards and 1 TD, 5 rec. for 15 yards) saw a ton of touches, but I was not impressed with him in the game or in practices. He is NFL-worthy, but not an NFL difference-maker.

The TEs:

Colorado State TE Crockett Gillmore (5 rec. for 61 yards and 1 TD) had a nice game, and he is definitely worthy of an NFL roster spot, but this is not the next great NFL TE. He is solid at-best.

Arthur Lynch (1 rec. for 1 yard) was the best TE that I saw all week in Mobile, but he didn’t see many looks in the game. He physically looks like a starting NFL TE…but more of a stable, mid-tier TE talent for the NFL, not a future star.

Again, with the North TEs…who knows? Those QBs weren’t going to give the TEs a showcase.

 

The Defense:

Randomly…

Wisconsin ILB Chris Borland looks like the hype is real. He is a bulldog that is in on all the action, and even worked strong on special teams. We’ll see how the measurables pan out at the NFL Combine.

Liberty CB Walt Aikens impressed me in practices all week. He looks a little wiry, but he is an aggressive, hard-hitting CB. In one-on-one drills, where one WR would block and the CB had to shed the block and chase a runner—Aikens shocked me with how physical he was, and how easily he could move bigger WRs backwards. He has the size, and demeanor, to potentially rocket into the 1st-round if his NFL Combine numbers are hot.

Dee Ford DE/OLB Auburn was the buzz of the practices, and went on to be the game MVP. He has so much buzz it started me thinking he was maybe being ‘pushed’ a little too much. He was very good, but I thought Michael Sam of Missouri was equally, or more impressive playing the same kind of DE/OLB role in practices.

Dan McCullers DT Tennessee is a mountain of a man. I stood within three yards of him and was aghast. I actually thought that if he wanted to, he could kill me in under one minute if he really wanted to. I might be able to live for 3-5+ minutes in a beat down by many other players and humans at the Senior Bowl, but McCullers could have sent me to heaven in under a minute. That being said, I didn’t see him do anything that stood out…besides being giant, and scaring me with how big he was (6’6.7”, 348-pounds).

Deone Bucannon Washington State SS looked mostly bored a lot of the time in practices, because he didn’t have a chance to hit anyone, I suspect. He is a tackler extraordinaire. In the actual Senior Bowl game, massive TE Arthur Lynch caught a short pass and Bucannon came in and exploded him out of bounds. Bucannon has no fear.

Auburn CB Chris Davis seemed everywhere all practice week and in this game. I’m not sure what his athletic measurables will be, or where he will get drafted, but he shows to be a guy you want on your football team. He’s a “ball player,” as they say.

 

The O-Line:

Honestly, who really watches the O-Line in a game?…only if they get burned, or pancake someone. I will make my scouting judgments on all of them after the NFL Combine.

The one O-Lineman that caught my eye all week, was OG/OT Joel Bitonio from Nevada. I think partially because he is a little smaller than the other guys, but then you see him flinging guys all over—he just makes an impression. I cannot wait to do more study on him post-Combine.

 

The North QBs:

Nothing new revealed. I called this all weeks ago. None of them are serious NFL prospects. Tajh Boyd (7-16 for 31 yards, 0 TD/1 INT) would fit a Pistol offense as a nice backup. Logan Thomas (4-5 for 17 yards) should not be playing QB…he should move to another position. As I’ve said countless times this week: Thomas is the best-looking QB at the Senior Bowl in shorts, and in 3-on-3, 7-on-7 drills. It’s the 11-on-11 he has trouble with. Thomas was sacked several times, and his throws in this game were simplistic no-read, one-step fireballs. He does not have next-level QB instincts.

Any scout or football analysts pumping Logan Thomas from the Senior Bowl work are committing a fraud on their viewers/readers. On cue, as I wrote this, I checked the internet to see what the Thomas critiques were from the week, and a video popped up from NFL Network where their on-field correspondent, a former scout was talking about how great Thomas looked. Lovely. When Thomas is drafted ahead of David Fales, I’m going to lose my mind for a 5-10 stretch of the draft.

It was interesting times at the Senior Bowl for me this week. The best thing that happened to me being at most of the practices was seeing how much better the South’s talent was over the North. I used my re-con to place a bet on the game—the South -1.0…that paid for gas to and from Mobile. Now, it’s onto the NFL Combine—which I may or may not attend.

 

Senior Bowl : Live Streaming Notes…

Twitter @CFBMetrics 

 

7:00pm: Final 20-10 South. We will recap this game in more detail tomorrow. See the College Football Metrics.com home page for that post

6:59pm: Dee Ford, Auburn = Game MVP

6:58pm: The Offensive MVP should be David Fales, San Jose State…but he will never get that honor. No way. I hope I am wrong.

6:56pm: Just announced: Defensive MVP of Senior Bowl = Dee Ford, Auburn

6:51pm: Honestly, the Jacksonville coaching staff is head-shaking. This is an NFL show case, and they are throwing a WR lateral for the WR to throw the ball in the end-zone. That really helps the QBs show case their talent when WRs get premium passes. Unreal. 

6:48: I saw dumb all week with the JAX coaching, but a lateral pass to a WR to then have him throw an INT in the end-zone…why? Who is this helping at the next level?

6:45pm: David Fales beautiful 35-yard deep ball to Vandy WR Jordan Matthews–perfect throw, perfect over the shoulder catch.

6:36pm: James White TD run, now 20-10 South…the South is just mailing it the last few minutes

6:26pm: Bad throw by David Fales while getting hit, turnover back to the North

6:23pm: North driving, Stephen Morris telegraphed pass into triple coverage, leading to a Chris Davis pick…Davis is everywhere

6:18pm: Eric Thomas WR Troy made a great catch for a 1st-down. A late add to the roster, like yesterday. 66 catches for 993 yds and 15 TDs this season.

6:06pm: Breaking news…Logan Thomas sacked again. Enjoy all those analysts who claimed he was a 1st or 2nd-round talent.

5:59pm: Logan Thomas sacked two more times (back to back plays), both by DT Princeton Caraun Reid 

5:54pm: The Derek Carr dink & dunk show now continues. I will wait impatiently for more Jimmy Garoppolo and David Fales

5:43pm: Vandy WR Jordan Matthews was not contained by any DB in the 1st-half, Derek Carr just never looked in his direction the whole time they worked together–Carr goes pre-designed one-step and fire 90% of the time it seems…he just didn’t go there with Matthews. 

5:34pm: Chris Davis Auburn just seems to be everywhere

5:31pm: Defenders starting to sit on Derek Carr’s quick passes, an easy pick dropped by Nebraska’s Stanley Jean-Baptiste

5:29pm: 20-3 South. North had great field position, but fizzled out to a FG with Tajh Boyd (7-13 for 31 yards, 0 TD/1 INT) leading the offense

5:24pm: Wyoming WR Robert Herron is a lot better than he will get credit at the Senior Bowl, because he is stuck w three poor QB prospects on the North team.

5:17pm: Missouri DE/OLB Michael Sam got his first sack. All week in practice he was in on the QB more than anyone. 

5:13pm: About the only player on the North showing well is Wisconsin ILB Chris Borland. Dude’s everywhere. Just made a punt coverage tackle along w all his other tackles. 

5:11pm: Toledo RB David Fluellen came in 5’11+ and 226 with 9.25 hand size. He just looks like an NFL RB.

5:07pm: David Fales and his supposed non-NFL arm: 23-yd rocket over the middle, then  scramble and flick for a 24-yd TD

5:00pm: QB Tom Savage, PITT has to be watching the SB-North with Stephen Morris,Tajh Boyd, and Logan Thomas and wondering why he isn’t there 

4:59pm: I love what I saw of Wisconsin WR Jared Abbrederis, but Wisc. RB James White has shown me nothing all week…or in this game.

4:52pm: Now you see a real NFL QB prospect throwing: Jimmy Garoppolo. He looks awesome. My CFM report from weeks ago was on the money–he’s going 1st-round, possibly 1st QB taken. 

4:50pm: My Man OG Joel Bitonio Nevada saved me with a quick pursuit of a loose ball/fumble. Loved Bitonio in Senior Bowl practices this week. He’s faster than people think.

4:45pm: Another Dee Ford sack off the far edge. That’s two in the 1st-quarter.

4:40pm: Jimmy Garoppolo has such a wonderful release. Everyone buying into Derek Carr is buying group-think. Watch Garoppolo throw in real games…and believe!!

4:38: Jimmy Garoppolo looks so much better in real action than in practice. Loved his game tape in 2013. SB practices was mehhh.

4:35pm: Dee Ford Auburn DE is earning all the accolades he rec’d at the Senior Bowl practices. Impressive sack of Logan Thomas.

4:33pm: Logan Thomas will throw a pick in this game as sure as I am sitting here…

4:29pm: Deone Bucannon delivering a big hit to a physically huge TE Arthur Lynch. Bucannon is looking like the next great NFL Strong Safety

4:26pm: Wow, what closing speed by Florida St. SS/OLB Telvon Smith! Tremendous close on a 3rd-down screen pass. 

4:20pm: It works at times, but at some point Derek Carr will have to not throw a one step drop, quick pass every play. He’s a HOF’er on that throw…it’s all the other ones that I question.

4:16pm: terrible pass by Tahj Boyd–picked off. Look like a punt caught by Safety Loston Craig LSU. Robert Herron WR Wyoming made a great move too.

4:14pm: A Jeff Janis drop on his first target, should have been an easy catch. Saw him fighting the ball all week.

4:13pm: Tajh Boyd measured under 6’1″ at Senior Bowl–first pass of game tipped at line of scrimmage…

4:10pm: Of all the players to return kicks…why Jeff Janis? So many better options I saw this week.

4:04pm: People keep loving on Derek Carr because of his quick release, which is nice, but why isn’t anyone asking whether he can play QB at the next level? I think people have already written this story and are sticking to it. David Fales and Jimmy Garoppolo looked just as good/bad as Carr in all the drills I watched. 

3:55pm: I am betting the South -1.0. Best QBs by far w best WR I saw there at practices this week: Vanderbilt Jordan Matthews, and TE: Georgia Arthur Lynch, and RB: Coastal Carolina Lorenzo Taliaferro

 

Tajh Boyd, QB | The CFM Draft Report

Tajh Boyd is a 2014 NFL Draft dilemma. Nice college numbers and above-average mobile, but is a shorter QB prospect with suspect passer abilities. There is a scenario where we think specific teams should ‘reach’ for Boyd in this draft, while others should stay far away. Read RC Fischer’s Tajh Boyd NFL outlook and full scouting report by clicking the link below.

If you are a SUBSCRIBER, to read our report on Tajh Boyd, click the link below:

Boyd, Tajh | QB | Clemson | 2014 NFL Draft Report

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College Football Metrics Subscription Pricing and Information

 

Zach Mettenberger, QB | The CFM Draft Report

There is no other way to say it: Zach Mettenberger is an NFL bust waiting to happen. Our numbers are pretty clear that trouble is lurking, but watching his game tape is tell-tale as well. He’s tall and played at LSU…two things that make draft analysts swoon. There is much more beneath the surface here. He is not a ‘sleeper'; he is more of a high-probability, future disappointment. I cannot believe there are not more draft dissenters here, but currently there is a ton of draft love going his way. Read our 1,700+ word scouting report, draft outlook, and the frightening QB comparisons our system analysis gives on Zach Mettenberger by clicking on the link below.

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Mettenberger, Zach | QB | LSU | 2014 NFL Draft Report

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College Football Metrics Subscription Pricing and Information

 

Kenny Guiton, QB | The CFM Draft Report

Can a QB who was never named a true starter for his college team for his entire career, and who only had a chance to start three games (due to Braxton Miller injury) actually be a viable QB prospect for the 2014 NFL Draft? Matt Cassel college-to-pro comparison aside–we think there is something a little intriguing here to debate and discuss. More than I thought there would be until I started studying it. Read about the radical QB comparison (not Matt Cassel) that we make with Kenny Guiton, and what his NFL prospectus looks like in our scouting models with our 1,200+ word scouting report. Click the link below.

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Guiton, Kenny | QB | Ohio State | 2014 NFL Draft Report

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Stephen Morris, QB | The CFM Draft Report

Stephen Morris has been the starting QB for the Miami, Fla. Hurricanes for the past two seasons. He has been a QB that has mostly flown under the national radar for name recognition. However, he has impressed ESPN enough to be their current #10 ranked QB prospect for the 2014 NFL Draft. Should Morris be rated a little higher…or a lot lower? We have a very definitive answer to that question in our full scouting report of Stephen Morris. Click the link below.

If you are a SUBSCRIBER, to read our report on Stephen Morris, click the link below:

Morris, Stephen | QB | Miami, Fla. | 2014 NFL Draft Report

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